Analysis and Recommendation: The AUD/USD is completely flat this morning trading at 1.0528 as consumers turned negative this month with today’s Westpac
Analysis and Recommendation:
The AUD/USD is completely flat this morning trading at 1.0528 as consumers turned negative this month with today’s Westpac Consumer Sentiment reporting well below the previous months with the report turning negative. Earlier positive sentiment from Europe and optimism surrounding United States debt talks has pushed the Australian dollar to a near three-month high, despite a more negative domestic outlook. It reached a high of 105.43 US cents in morning trade, its highest point since September 17, following a strong overnight trading session.
The NAB Monthly Business Survey was released yesterday and was on the weak side, implying a slowing in GDP growth in the December quarter to ~ 2¼%, which is definitely below trend.
The US dollar remains weak as the FOMC decision is due later today and markets expect the Fed’s to up their monetary easing.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Economic Data December 12, 2012 actual v. forecast
Date |
|
Currency |
|
|
Event |
Actual |
|
Forecast |
|
Previous |
|
|
Dec. 12 |
|
USD |
|
|
API Weekly Crude Stock |
4.27M |
|
-1.87M |
|
-2.22M |
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
API Weekly Gasoline Stock |
2.76M |
|
1.93M |
|
5.71M |
|
|
|
|
KRW |
|
|
South Korean Unemployment Rate |
3.0% |
|
3.1% |
|
3.0% |
|
|
|
|
AUD |
|
|
Westpac Consumer Sentiment |
-4.10% |
|
|
|
5.20% |
|
|
|
|
JPY |
|
|
CGPI (YoY) |
-0.9% |
|
-0.9% |
|
-1.0% |
|
|
|
|
JPY |
|
|
Core Machinery Orders (MoM) |
2.6% |
|
3.0% |
|
-4.3% |
|
|
|
|
JPY |
|
|
Tertiary Industry Activity Index (MoM) |
-0.1% |
|
-0.3% |
|
0.2% |
||
|
|
KRW |
|
|
South Korean M2 Money supply |
7.80% |
|
|
|
8.90% |
|
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the AUD, NZD, JPY and USD
Date |
Time |
Currency |
Event |
Forecast |
Previous |
Dec. 13 |
23:50 |
JPY |
-10 |
-3 |
|
Dec. 14 |
04:30 |
JPY |
1.8% |
Government Bond Auction
Date Time Country
Dec 13 01:30 Japan
Dec 13 09:30 Spain
Dec 13 10:10 Italy
Dec 13 10:30 UK
Dec 13 16:00 US
Dec 13 18:00 US
Dec 14 11:00 Belgium
Dec 14 15:30 UK