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AUD/USD Fundamental Analysis January 31, 2013 Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 21, 2015, 07:00 GMT+00:00

Analysis and Recommendation: The AUD/USD is trading at 1.0468 pretty flat today, as the US dollar is also flat ahead of announcements due later today from

AUD/USD Fundamental Analysis January 31, 2013 Forecast

AUD/USD Fundamental Analysis January 31, 2013 Forecast
AUD/USD Fundamental Analysis January 31, 2013 Forecast
Analysis and Recommendation:

The AUD/USD is trading at 1.0468 pretty flat today, as the US dollar is also flat ahead of announcements due later today from the US Federal Reserve. AUD gained yesterday, adding 0.3% following the release of better than expected confidence data. Near term support for AUDUSD has been found above 1.04, following four consecutive sessions of decline that have left it trading at the center of a two month range between 1.03 and 1.06. Second tier data releases are likely to provide for movement ahead of next Tuesday’s RBA decision, where the statement tone will be scrutinized for indications of a dovish bias following softer inflation and employment data earlier this month. There remains the possibility that Glenn Stevens will drop the interest rate one more time. The RBA is set to meet on February 5 to decide its rate position – it previously cut the cash rate by 25 percentage points to three per cent at its December meeting.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data January 30, 2013 actual v. forecast

Date

 

Currency

 

 

Event

Actual

 

Forecast

 

Previous

 

 

Jan. 30

 

KRW

 

 

Industrial Production (YoY) 

0.8%

 

0.9% 

 

3.2% 

   

 

 

KRW

 

 

Service Sector Output (MoM) 

0.10%

 

 

 

0.80% 

 

 

 

 

KRW

 

 

Industrial Production (MoM) 

1.0%

 

-1.0% 

 

2.6% 

   

 

 

KRW

 

 

Current Account 

2.98B

 

 

 

6.69B 

   

 

 

JPY

 

 

Retail Sales (YoY) 

0.4%

 

0.3% 

 

1.3% 

   

 

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the AUD, NZD, JPY and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

Jan. 31

00:00

AUD

HIA New Home Sales (MoM) 

 

4.7% 

 

13:30

USD

Core PCE Price Index (MoM) 

0.1% 

0.0% 

 

13:30

USD

Personal Spending (MoM) 

0.3% 

0.4% 

 

13:30

USD

Initial Jobless Claims 

350K 

330K 

 

13:30

USD

Employment Cost Index (QoQ) 

0.5% 

0.4% 

 

13:30

USD

Continuing Jobless Claims 

3170K 

3157K 

 

14:45

USD

Chicago PMI 

51.0 

48.9 

Upcoming Government Bond

Date Time Country 

Jan 31 01:30 Japan 

Jan 31 10:10 Sweden 

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