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AUD/USD Fundamental Analysis – November 17, 2015 – Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Published: Nov 16, 2015, 05:02 UTC

Analysis and Recommendation: The AUD/USD declined 15 points to trade at 0.7115 heading lower after the US dollar gained 30 points as traders moved to safe

AUD/USD Fundamental Analysis – November 17, 2015 – Forecast

audusd monday bnsnla
Analysis and Recommendation:

The AUD/USD declined 15 points to trade at 0.7115 heading lower after the US dollar gained 30 points as traders moved to safe havens after the terrorist attacks in Paris.  U.S. stock futures fell on Sunday, indicating a lower open for blue chip stocks in the wake of the terrorist attacks that left more than 100 people dead in Paris. In the wake of the Paris terrorist attacks that occurred late on Friday evening, the Australian dollar, like other risk assets, is under modest pressure in early Asian trade.

As France initiated a new bombing campaign in Syria in retaliation against ISIS, the perpetrators of the assault, markets appeared to weaken as investors absorbed the geopolitical implications.

Australia’s ASX 200 also suffered losses, falling by more than a percent in early dealings, suggesting that Asia’s major markets might also tumble in the wake of the terror assaults. Analysts said that investors are likely to pull back from risk-sensitive assets, which is typical in an environment where geopolitical tensions are high. On Sunday, France bombed an ISIS stronghold in Syria, in retaliation for the attacks for which the terror group claimed responsibility.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Today’s economic releases:

Cur.

Imp.

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  NZD

 

Core Retail Sales (QoQ)

1.0%

1.4%

0.0%

   

  NZD

 

Retail Sales (QoQ) (Q3)

1.6%

1.3%

0.1%

 

 

  JPY

 

GDP (YoY) (Q3)  

-0.8%

-0.2%

-1.2%

 

 

  JPY

 

GDP (QoQ) (Q3)  

-0.2%

-0.1%

-0.3%

   

 

audusd

Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

Tuesday, November 17, 2015

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

  GBP

 

CPI (MoM) (Oct)

 

0.1%

-0.1%

 

  GBP

 

CPI (YoY) (Oct)

 

-0.1%

-0.1%

 

  GBP

 

PPI Input (MoM) (Oct)

 

0.2%

0.6%

 

  EUR

 

German ZEW Current Conditions

 

55.5

55.2

 

  EUR

 

German ZEW Economic Sentiment

 

6.0

1.9

 

  USD

 

Core CPI (YoY) (Oct)

 

1.9%

1.9%

 

  USD

 

Core CPI (MoM) (Oct)

 

0.2%

0.2%

 

  USD

 

CPI (MoM) (Oct)

 

0.2%

-0.2%

 

  USD

 

Industrial Production (MoM) (Oct)

 

0.1%

-0.2%

 

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country

Nov 18 11:30 Germany New Eur 5bn Dec 2017 Schatz

Nov 18 10:30 UK 2% 2025 Gilt auction

Nov 18 10:30 Portugal Eur 1-1.25bn; bond auction

Nov 18 15:30 Sweden Announces details of Bond on 25 Nov

Nov 18 N/A Holland Announces details of Bond on 24 Nov

Nov 19 09:30 Spain Auctions Bonos/Obligaciones

Nov 19 10:50 France Auctions BTANs

Nov 19 11:50 France Auctions OATi

Nov 19 N/A US Holds 10-year TIPS auction

Nov 20 16:30 Italy Announces details of CTZ/BTPei on 25 Nov

 

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