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AUD/USD Fundamental Analysis – November 23, 2015 – Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Published: Nov 20, 2015, 04:57 UTC

Analysis and Recommendation: The AUD/USD was flat in the morning session as the greenback regained its momentum. The Aussie is trading at 0.7195. The

AUD/USD Fundamental Analysis – November 23, 2015 – Forecast

audusd friday bnsla
Analysis and Recommendation:

The AUD/USD was flat in the morning session as the greenback regained its momentum. The Aussie is trading at 0.7195. The Australian dollar has surged to a two-week high, continuing its underdog rally, but the unexpected gains in the currency may not be over, says Saxo Bank chief economist Steen Jakobsen.

The Aussie pushed above US72¢ on Friday, on track for a weekly 1 per cent gain, despite another slip in the iron ore price and rising expectations the US Federal Reserve will finally start lifting interest rates at its meeting next month.

The Aussie rally has been remarkable this week when you consider that iron ore has continued to crash, that copper marked another 6-year low and is now down under $2.10 a pound, and oil is sitting just above the $40 a barrel level.

While the rally is partly about the US dollar, for the most part it seems that investors are re-appraising the universal bearishness that they held for the Aussie dollar just a few weeks ago. That’s if the research and comment slipping through my inbox and Twitter feed is any indication.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Today’s economic releases:

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  JPY

 

BoJ Monthly Report

 

 

 

   
                 

 

audusd

Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

Monday, November 23, 2015

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

 

 

 

Japan – Labour Thanksgiving Day

  EUR

 

German Manufacturing PMI (Nov)

 

52.1

52.1

 

 

  EUR

 

German Services PMI (Nov)

 

54.3

54.5

 

 

  EUR

 

Manufacturing PMI (Nov)

 

52.3

52.3

 

 

  EUR

 

Markit Composite PMI (Nov)

 

 

53.9

 

 

  EUR

 

Services PMI (Nov)

 

54.0

54.1

 

 

  EUR

 

Eurogroup Meetings  

 

 

 

 

 

  USD

 

Manufacturing PMI (Nov)

 

 

54.1

 

 

  USD

 

Existing Home Sales (Oct)

 

5.44M

5.55M

 

 

  USD

 

Existing Home Sales (MoM) (Oct)

 

 

4.7%

 

 

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country

Nov 20 16:30 Italy Announces details of CTZ/BTPei on 25 Nov

Nov 23 12:00 Belgium Auctions OLOs

Nov 23 N/A US Holds 2-year note auction

Nov 24 17:30 Italy Announces details of BTPs/CCTeu on 27 Nov

Nov 24 N/A Holland Eur 1.0-2.0bn 0.25% Jul 2025 DSL

Nov 24 N/A US Holds 5-year note auction

Nov 25 11:03 Sweden Holds bond auction

Nov 25 11:10 Italy Auctions CTZ/BTPei

Nov 25 11:30 Germany Eur 3bn 1.0% Aug 2025 Bund

Nov 25 N/A US Holds 2-year FRN auction

Nov 25 N/A US Holds 7-year note auction

Nov 26 11:03 Sweden Holds bond auction

Nov 27 11:03 Sweden Holds bond auction

Nov 27 11:10 Italy Auctions BTPs/CCTeus

 

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