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Bitcoin (BTC) Revisits sub-$29,000 as Investors React to US Inflation

By:
Bob Mason
Updated: Jun 11, 2022, 01:28 UTC

Bitcoin fell for a fourth consecutive day on Friday. Another spike in US inflation fueled fears of more aggressive Fed rate hikes to curb inflation.

Crypto market sees bearish session.

Key Insights:

  • On Friday, bitcoin (BTC) slid by 3.4% to end the day at $29,067. The bearish session saw bitcoin fall to sub-$29,000 before finding support.
  • Market jitters over inflation were justified, with US inflation accelerating to a new 40-year high.
  • The Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index saw a modest rise this morning, despite Friday’s sell-off.

On Friday, bitcoin (BTC) slid by 3.4%. Following a 0.35% loss on Thursday, bitcoin ended the day at $29,067.

A mixed start to the day saw bitcoin strike an early morning high of $30,337 before hitting reverse.

Falling short of the First Major Resistance Level at $30,533, bitcoin slid to a day low of $28,840.

Bitcoin fell through the First Major Support Level at $29,779 and the Second Major Support Level at $29,474. Steering clear of the Third Major Support Level at $28,720, bitcoin partially recovered to end the day at $29,067.

The Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Provides Little Market Comfort

Today, the Fear & Greed Index rose from 11/100 to 12/100. While the Index increased, despite Friday’s sell-off, the Index remains deep within the “Extreme Fear” zone, reflecting investor fear of further downside.

BTC Fear & Greed Index holds steady.
Fear & Greed 110622

Following mid-week inflation jitters, US inflation figures weighed on riskier assets.

In May, the US annual rate of inflation accelerated from 8.3% to a new 40-year high of 8.6%. The spike supports a more aggressive Fed interest rate path trajectory to curb inflation.

Bitcoin tracked the NASDAQ 100 through the US session, while the inverse correlation with WTI crude oil prices softened.

With the Fed delivering its June monetary policy decision next week, it could be a testy weekend ahead.

BTC correlation with the NASDAQ strengthens.
NASDAQ BTC WTI 110622 5 Minute Chart

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Action

At the time of writing, BTC was up 0.43% to $29,192.

A range-bound start to the day saw BTC fall to an early morning low of $29,025 before striking a high of $29,197.

BTC finds modest support early on.
BTCUSD 110622 Daily Chart

Technical Indicators

BTC will need to move through the $29,415 pivot to target the First Major Resistance Level at $29,986.

BTC would need the broader crypto market to support a breakout from $29,500.

An extended rally would test the Second Major Resistance Level at $30,913 and resistance at $31,500.

Failure to move through the pivot would test the First Major Support Level at $28,493. Barring another extended sell-off, BTC should steer clear of sub-$28,000 levels. The Second Major Support Level sits at $27,918.

Failure to move through the Pivot would leave BTC under pressure.
BTCUSD 110622 Hourly Chart

Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly candlestick chart (below), it is a bearish signal. Bitcoin sits below the 50-day EMA, currently at $30,062. The 50-day EMA fell back from the 100-day EMA. The 100-day EMA eased back from the 100-day EMA, bitcoin price negative.

A move through the 50-day EMA and through the 100-day EMA, currently at $30,225 would support a run at the 200-day EMA, currently at $31,300.

A move through the 100-day EMA key
BTCUSD 110622 4 Hourly Chart

About the Author

Bob Masonauthor

With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.

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