Bitcoin Price Forecast: Can BTC Turn a CPI-Driven Rally Into a $110,000 Run?

Bitcoin (BTC) is attempting to reclaim the psychological $100,000 level after rallying in response to a softer-than-feared US inflation report, with price action now centered on a decisive technical inflection point.

Bitcoin Retests Ascending Triangle Breakout

As of Wednesday, Bitcoin was testing the former upper trendline of what appears to be an ascending triangle pattern as support, a common post-breakout behavior that often determines whether follow-through gains materialize.

The structure has been defined by a series of higher lows since late November, compressing price against horizontal resistance near the $95,000–$97,000 range.

This week’s breakout above that ceiling shifted the technical bias decisively in favor of bulls. If BTC continues to hold above the triangle’s upper boundary, the setup points to a continuation rally toward the $107,000–$110,000 region, in line with the pattern’s measured move.

Ascending triangles typically signal strengthening demand, with buyers stepping in at progressively higher levels while sellers fail to push the price lower. A successful retest reinforces the breakout’s validity and often precedes trend acceleration.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s relative strength index (RSI) is trending higher but remains below overbought levels, indicating room for further upside without immediate exhaustion.

At the same time, BTC is attempting to reclaim key short- and medium-term exponential moving averages, which historically act as dynamic support during sustained uptrends.

Volume behavior also aligns with a breakout-and-retest scenario, with increased participation during the initial move higher and stabilization during the pullback phase.

Conversely, failure to hold above the former triangle resistance could invalidate the bullish setup, exposing BTC to renewed consolidation toward the $92,000–$90,000 region.

Softer US inflation improves macro backdrop

The technical breakout coincided with the latest US CPI report, which showed inflation holding steady and broadly in line with expectations.

The data reduced concerns about renewed inflationary pressure and reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may remain on hold before pivoting toward rate cuts later in the year.

Lower real-rate expectations tend to favor risk-on assets, including cryptocurrencies, by reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets such as Bitcoin.

As a result, US equities, particularly growth-oriented segments, saw renewed buying interest, while gold and silver also moved higher as investors adjusted inflation and policy expectations.

The synchronized move suggests Bitcoin’s rally was part of a wider risk-sentiment shift rather than an isolated crypto-specific event.