Bitcoin vs. Gold: Trump’s Crypto Strategy Reshapes Market Outlook for XAUUSD and BTC

The announcement of Trump Media’s partnership with Crypto.com to accumulate CRO and institutionalise crypto treasury strategies signals a growing corporate shift toward digital assets. This move follows the playbook of MicroStrategy (MSTR), whose massive Bitcoin accumulation drove its valuation and investor attention.

As Trump Media adopt crypto-based balance sheet strategies, market sentiment toward Bitcoin becomes increasingly positive. The growing political and institutional alignment with the crypto space, particularly under Trump-linked ventures, may boost investor confidence and increase capital inflows into Bitcoin.

This article examines the evolving dynamics between gold (XAU) and Bitcoin (BTC), with a focus on how recent developments are influencing investor preferences. The article discusses the Bitcoin-to-Gold and Gold-to-Bitcoin ratios, highlighting technical patterns that suggest a potential breakout in favour of Bitcoin.

Bitcoin-to-Gold Ratio Builds Bullish Momentum in Ascending Triangle

The long-term outlook for the Bitcoin-to-Gold ratio shows bullish price action. On the monthly log chart, the ratio has been forming an ascending triangle pattern. The price structure within the triangle remains bullish.

The ratio is now approaching the edge of the ascending triangle pattern. A break above the 40 area would likely trigger a strong surge in Bitcoin prices. This bullish setup reflects Bitcoin’s positive performance compared to gold, though with higher volatility.

The Gold-to-Bitcoin ratio indicates that Bitcoin has been trading in a bullish manner compared to gold. This is because the ratio has been moving within a descending channel. When the ratio hits the upper resistance, Bitcoin tends to bottom while gold begins to rally.

The ratio has now reached a key level at 0.026 and is consolidating just below the resistance of the channel. In August 2025, the ratio rebounded sharply due to a decline in Bitcoin and a strengthening of the gold market. However, the ratio is likely to continue lower after facing resistance.

Bitcoin Forms Bullish Base Above Key Support Despite Correction

Bearish Candle Near Highs Signals Temporary Bitcoin Weakness

Bitcoin has formed a bearish hammer near record resistance and continues to trade lower toward support. Prices have declined for the past three weeks. However, the inverted head and shoulders pattern broke out near the 110K area. This level has now become key support for the next potential move higher.

Despite short-term bearish action, the broader structure remains bullish. After breaking above the pivotal 105K–115K zone, Bitcoin may resume its upward trend once the correction completes. This week, prices are consolidating near the 110K area along the black trend line, which acts as strong support for the next move.

Bullish Hammer at Support Sets Up Bitcoin for Recovery

The daily chart for Bitcoin shows a bullish hammer pattern at strong support near 110K. This formation signals the potential for a move higher. The emergence of bullish price action at this level strengthens the case for a rebound. If prices continue to rise from this support area, the next target lies near 140K. This target aligns with the two-year trendline shown in the daily chart below.

Gold Builds Bullish Structure for Breakout Above $3,500

Gold Price Builds Bullish Base Within Ascending Triangle

The weekly chart for spot gold shows that prices have been trading within an ascending channel for the past two years. Notably, the lower boundary of this channel acts as a strong buy zone in the ongoing uptrend.

Therefore, any correction in spot gold toward this line is considered a buying opportunity for the next rally. Currently, the $3,150 to $3,250 region remains a key support area for a potential move higher.

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Additionally, gold has formed an ascending triangle pattern within an ascending channel. Prices are compressing near the edge of this structure. A breakout above the $3,450 to $3,500 range would confirm a bullish breakout. Overall, the $3,200 to $3,500 region marks a critical zone that could trigger a strong surge in gold prices.

Gold’s Weekly Structure Points to Long-Term Upside Continuation

The weekly chart for spot gold shows that the price is in a strong uptrend and consolidating within a tight range. Historically, gold tends to consolidate before each significant surge.

The formation of an inverted head and shoulders pattern from the 2020 top to the 2024 breakout suggests that each consolidation phase acts as price compression before the next rally. A break above $3,500 would likely trigger the next move higher in the spot gold market. On the downside, the $3,000 level remains a key long-term support.