December Comex Gold futures finished lower on Monday as investors continued to adjust to the possibility of a Fed rate hike in December. With the market
December Comex Gold futures finished lower on Monday as investors continued to adjust to the possibility of a Fed rate hike in December. With the market trading near a key retracement zone, it still looks like traders are a little indecisive about how to play the market ahead of the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls report on Friday. This could lead to a sideways, two-side trade over the next several days.
The main trend is down according to the daily swing chart.
The main range is $1103.80 to $1191.70. Its retracement zone is $1147.80 to $1137.40. The market is currently straddling the lower or Fibonacci level at $1137.40. Trader reaction to this level will likely determine the direction of the market today.
A sustained move under $1137.40 will signal the presence of sellers. This could trigger a break into an uptrending angle at $1125.80. If this angle fails then look for the selling to continue into the next angle at $1114.80. This is the last major angle before the $1103.80 main bottom.
A sustained move over $1137.40 will indicate the presence of buyers. The daily chart indicates that there is room to the upside with the next targets a resistance cluster at $1147.80 and an uptrending angle at $1151.10.
Since the trend is down, look for sellers to show up at $1147.80 if tested. The trigger point for a steep upside breakout is a downtrending angle at $1151.10.
Watch the price action and read the order flow at $1137.40. Trader reaction to this level will tell us whether the bulls or the bears are in control.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.