December Comex Gold futures traded lower on Monday which was expected because of the downside momentum on the close on Friday. Buyers came in at $1226.30,
December Comex Gold futures traded lower on Monday which was expected because of the downside momentum on the close on Friday. Buyers came in at $1226.30, however, producing a potentially bullish closing price reversal bottom.
This chart pattern is not suggesting the main trend is getting ready to turn higher, but it does indicate it may be preparing for a strong short-covering rally. The chart pattern will be confirmed on a trade through $1239.30.
The first minor objective is the old bottom at $1241.70. This could stop the rally temporarily because old bottoms tend to become new tops. The best objective today is a downtrending angle from the $1347.50 top at $1253.50.
If there is no confirmation, or if it fails to trigger a strong short-covering rally then look for traders to go after the bottom at $1226.30. The first objective on a break through this bottom is $1222.00 to $1220.00.
The tone of the day will be determined by whether buyers can confirm the reversal bottom on a trade through $1239.30. Taking out then sustaining a move over this level could trigger a strong short-covering rally. Otherwise, look for the rally to die and the market to resume the downtrend.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.