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Crude & Brent Oil Fundamental Analysis October 20, 2014 Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 25, 2015, 01:00 UTC

Analysis and Recommendations: Crude Oil continued to gain today adding $1.35 continuing to rally after the drop in US inventory reported yesterday. Brent

Crude & Brent Oil Fundamental Analysis October 20, 2014 Forecast
Crude & Brent Oil Fundamental Analysis October 20, 2014 Forecast
Crude & Brent Oil Fundamental Analysis October 20, 2014 Forecast

Analysis and Recommendations:

Crude Oil continued to gain today adding $1.35 continuing to rally after the drop in US inventory reported yesterday. Brent Oil gained $1.09 to trade at 86.92 while crude oil touched 84.05 as the spread narrowed to less than $3. WTI crude held gains above $80 a barrel as Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said the market isn’t oversupplied. Brent was steady in London. Futures fluctuated in New York after rebounding 1.1 percent yesterday. The decline is “too much, too early” because a glut is yet to materialize.

Oil prices are trading higher by 1.5 percent and got some respite on Friday from a four-month rout, as Brent climbed by almost a dollar to above $86 a barrel after positive U.S. data buoyed global financial markets. Also, Iraq, the second-largest producer in the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, plans to raise November exports from the Basrah Oil Terminal in the south by 400,000 barrels a day to 2.83 million. OPEC, which supplies about 40 percent of the world’s oil, boosted production in September to 30.47 million barrels a day, the most since August 2013, according to its monthly report on Oct. 10. That’s about 300,000 barrels a day more than the demand the group anticipates for its oil this quarter.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

WEEKLY

This Week in Petroleum
Release Schedule: Wednesday @ 1:00 p.m. EST (schedule)

Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update
Release Schedule: Monday between 4:00 and 5:00 p.m. EST (schedule)

Weekly Petroleum Status Report
Release Schedule: The wpsrsummary.pdf, overview.pdf, and Tables 1-14 in CSV and XLS formats, are released to the Web site after 10:30 a.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday.

Today’s economic releases actual vs. forecast:

There are no data releases scheduled Friday in Asian or European markets, focus will be on Janet Yellen’s speech later today

 

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  USD

 

Building Permits (Sep)

 

1.029M

1.003M

 

 

  USD

 

Building Permits (MoM)

 

2.8%

-5.1%

 

 

  USD

 

Fed Chair Yellen Speaks  

 

 

 

 

 

  USD

 

Housing Starts (MoM)

 

4.8%

-14.4%

 

 

  USD

 

Housing Starts (Sep)

 

1.004M

0.956

 

Brent Oil(15 minutes)20141017160645
 
Crude Oil(15 minutes)20141017160627

Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

 

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

 

Holiday

Kenya – Mashujaa Day

 

  EUR

 

German PPI (MoM)

 

 

-0.1%

 

 

  CAD

 

Wholesale Sales (MoM)

 

 

-0.3%

 

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country Auction

Oct 20 12:00 Belgium OLO Auction

Oct 20 12:00 Slovakia Bond auction (for decision)

Oct 21 10:30 Spain 3 & 9M T-bill auction

Oct 21 11:00 Norway Bond auction

Oct 21 11:00 UK Auctions 2.75% 2024 Gilt

Oct 22 11:30 Germany Eur 2.0bn Aug 2046 Bund auction

Oct 23 11:03 Sweden I/L bond auction

Oct 23 17:00 US Announces 2/5/7Y Note & 2Y FRN auctions on Oct 28/29/30 & 29

Oct 23 17:30 Italy Announces details of BTPei/CTZ auctions on Oct 28

Oct 23 19:00 US 30Y TIPS auction

Oct 24 17:30 Italy Announces details of BOT auction on Oct 29

 

 

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