Advertisement
Advertisement

Crude Oil Fundamental Analysis December 7, 2012, Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 21, 2015, 00:00 UTC

Analysis and Recommendations: Crude Oil continues to decline, as growth estimates from around the globe are being revised downward. Today the ECB revised

Crude Oil Fundamental Analysis December 7, 2012, Forecast
Crude Oil Fundamental Analysis December 7, 2012, Forecast
Crude Oil Fundamental Analysis December 7, 2012, Forecast

Analysis and Recommendations:

Crude Oil continues to decline, as growth estimates from around the globe are being revised downward. Today the ECB revised the growth estimates for the eurozone downward for the balance of the year and for 2013. Geopolitical tension in the Middle East continues to support prices with Syria and Turkey’s border dispute escalating, while recent developments in the region, news reports said violence escalated in Egypt after clashes between opponents and supporters of President Mohammed Morsi resulted in several deaths. Additionally, Israel reportedly moved ahead with plans to build settler homes in the West Bank, prompting the European Union to summon the Israeli ambassador.

This week’s inventory showed a higher than expected drop in stocks, but this had very little market reaction.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data December 6, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

 

Currency

 

 

Event

Actual

 

Forecast

 

Previous

 

 

Dec. 06

 

AUD

 

 

Employment Change 

13.9K

 

0.2K 

 

10.1K 

   

 

 

AUD

 

 

Unemployment Rate 

5.2%

 

5.5% 

 

5.4% 

 

 

 

 

CHF

 

 

Unemployment Rate 

3.0%

 

3.0% 

 

3.0% 

 

 

 

 

GBP

 

 

Halifax House Price Index (MoM) 

1.0%

 

0.2% 

 

-0.1% 

   

 

 

CHF

 

 

CPI (MoM) 

-0.3%

 

0.0% 

 

0.1% 

 

 

 

 

GBP

 

 

Trade Balance 

-9.5B

 

-8.8B 

 

-8.4B 

   

 

 

EUR

 

 

GDP (QoQ) 

-0.1%

 

-0.1% 

 

-0.1% 

 

 

 

 

EUR

 

 

German Factory Orders (MoM) 

3.9%

 

0.9% 

 

-2.4% 

   

 

 

GBP

 

 

Interest Rate Decision 

0.50%

 

0.50% 

 

0.50% 

 

 

 

 

GBP

 

 

BOE QE Total 

375B

 

375B 

 

375B 

 

 

 

 

EUR

 

 

Interest Rate Decision 

0.75%

 

0.75% 

 

0.75% 

 

 

 

 

CAD

 

 

Building Permits (MoM) 

15.0%

 

3.0% 

 

-12.7% 

   

 

 

USD

 

 

Initial Jobless Claims 

370K

 

380K 

 

395K 

   

 

 

EUR

 

 

ECB Press Conference 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

USD

 

 

Continuing Jobless Claims 

3205K

 

3275K 

 

3305K 

   

 

WEEKLY

  • This Week in Petroleum
    Release Schedule: Wednesday @ 1:00 p.m. EST (schedule)
  • Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update
    Release Schedule: Monday between 4:00 and 5:00 p.m. EST (schedule)
  • Weekly Petroleum Status Report
    Release Schedule: The wpsrsummary.pdf, overview.pdf, and Tables 1-14 in CSV and XLS formats, are released to the Web site after 10:30 a.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday. All other PDF and HTML files are released to the Web site after 1:00 p.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday. Appendix D is produced during the winter heating season, which extends from October through March of each year. For some weeks which include holidays, releases are delayed by one day. (schedule)

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

Dec. 07 

09:30

GBP

Industrial Production (MoM) 

0.7%

-1.7%

 

09:30

GBP

Manufacturing Production (MoM) 

-0.2%

0.1%

 

09:30

GBP

Industrial Production (YoY) 

-0.6%

-2.6%

 

11:00

EUR

German Industrial Production (MoM)

-0.5%

-1.8%

 

13:30

USD

Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) 

0.2%

0.0%

 

13:30

USD

Nonfarm Payrolls 

90K

171K

 

13:30

USD

Average Weekly Hours

34.4

34.4

 

13:30

USD

Private Nonfarm Payrolls 

90K

184K

 

14:55

USD

Michigan Consumer Sentiment 

82.1

82.7

 

15:00

GBP

NIESR GDP Estimate 

 

0.5%

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country 

Dec 07 16:30 Italy  

Dec 10 10:10 Norway 

Dec 10 10:10 Slovakia 

Dec 10 15:30 UK 

Dec 10 16:30 Italy  

Dec 11 09:30 Spain 

Dec 11 10:10 Greece 

Dec 11 10:15 Austria 

Dec 11 10:30 Belgium 

Dec 11 10:30 UK          

Dec 11 18:00 US 

Dec 12 10:10 Italy  

Dec 12 10:10 Sweden 

Dec 12 10:30 Swiss 

Dec 12 16:30 US 

Dec 13 01:30 Japan 

Dec 13 09:30 Spain 

Dec 13 10:10 Italy  

Dec 13 10:30 UK 

Dec 13 16:00 US 

Dec 13 18:00 US 

Dec 14 11:00 Belgium 

Dec 14 15:30 UK 

About the Author

Did you find this article useful?

Advertisement