Analysis and Recommendations: Crude Oil is trading at 97.06 basically flat today. Nymex crude oil futures prices are near steady early Wednesday. The
Analysis and Recommendations:
Crude Oil is trading at 97.06 basically flat today. Nymex crude oil futures prices are near steady early Wednesday. The crude oil bulls still have the overall near-term technical advantage but have faded a bit recently. If crude oil bulls start to weaken that would be a bearish development for the raw commodity sector, including the precious metals. Traders are waiting this afternoon’s release of the latest minutes of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s FOMC meeting from early January. These minutes in the past few months have been market-movers. Traders and investors will scrutinize the minutes for clues regarding upcoming Federal Reserve monetary policy moves. Speculators are also going to pay close attention to the American Petroleum Report due later today.
US crude prices advanced on reports of increasing oil volume through the Seaway Pipeline. The Seaway pipeline has recently been troubled by distribution problems but plans to pump 295,000 barrels a day between late February and the end of May, media reports said. Seaway is seen as a critical component in addressing a glut of oil at the bottlenecked US hub in Cushing, Oklahoma. The pipeline’s capacity was recently expanded to 400,000 barrels a day from 150,000 barrels, but the operator has encountered technical problems that have limited the volume
Due to the US holiday on Monday the US government’s Department of Energy will publish its weekly inventory figures one day later than usual.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Economic Data February 20, 2013 actual v. forecast
Date |
|
Currency |
|
|
Event |
Actual |
|
Forecast |
|
Previous |
|
|
Feb. 20 |
|
JPY |
|
|
Trade Balance |
-0.68T |
|
-0.59T |
|
-0.78T |
||
|
|
AUD |
|
|
Wage Price Index |
0.8% |
|
0.8% |
|
0.7% |
|
|
|
|
EUR |
|
|
German CPI (MoM) |
-0.5% |
|
-0.5% |
|
-0.5% |
|
|
|
|
EUR |
|
|
German CPI (YoY) |
1.7% |
|
1.7% |
|
1.7% |
|
|
|
|
EUR |
|
|
French CPI (MoM) |
-0.5% |
|
-0.2% |
|
0.3% |
|
|
|
|
GBP |
|
|
Average Earnings Index |
1.4% |
|
1.4% |
|
1.5% |
|
|
|
|
GBP |
|
|
Claimant Count Dif. |
-12.5K |
|
-5.0K |
|
-15.8K |
||
|
|
GBP |
|
|
MPC Meeting Minutes |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
Building Permits |
0.925M |
|
0.915M |
|
0.909M |
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
Core PPI (MoM) |
0.2% |
|
0.2% |
|
0.1% |
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
Housing Starts |
0.890M |
|
0.925M |
|
0.954M |
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
PPI (MoM) |
0.2% |
|
0.4% |
|
-0.3% |
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
PPI (YoY) |
1.4% |
|
1.4% |
|
1.3% |
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
Core PPI (YoY) |
1.8% |
|
1.6% |
|
2.0% |
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
FOMC Minutes |
WEEKLY
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP, CAD and USD
Date |
Time |
Currency |
Event |
Forecast |
Previous |
Feb. 21 |
07:58 |
EUR |
43.8 |
42.9 |
|
|
08:28 |
EUR |
50.5 |
49.8 |
|
|
09:00 |
EUR |
48.4 |
47.9 |
|
|
09:45 |
EUR |
|
5.290% |
|
|
11:00 |
GBP |
-15 |
-20 |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
0.2% |
0.1% |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
0.1% |
0.0% |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
355K |
341K |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
3170K |
3114K |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
1.6% |
1.7% |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
1.8% |
1.9% |
|
|
15:00 |
USD |
4.90M |
4.94M |
|
|
15:00 |
USD |
1.0 |
-5.8 |
Upcoming Government Bond
Date Time Country
Feb 21 01:30 Japan
Feb 21 09:30 Spain
Feb 21 09:50 France
Feb 21 10:30 UK
Feb 21 10:50 France
Feb 21 16:30 Italy
Feb 21 16:00 US
Feb 21 18:00 US
Feb 22 16:30 Italy
Feb 25 10:10 Italy
Feb 25 10:30 Germany
Feb 25 11:30 Belgium
Feb 25 18:00 US
Feb 26 10:10 Italy
Feb 26 15:30 UK
Feb 26 18:00 US
Feb 27 10:10 Italy
Feb 27 15:30 Sweden