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Crude Oil Fundamental December 18, 2012, Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 21, 2015, 01:00 UTC

Analysis and Recommendations: Crude Oil gained a few cents today to trade at 87.53. U.S. crude was supported by hopes for higher Chinese demand, but gains

Crude Oil Fundamental December 18, 2012, Forecast
Crude Oil Fundamental December 18, 2012, Forecast
Crude Oil Fundamental December 18, 2012, Forecast

Analysis and Recommendations:

Crude Oil gained a few cents today to trade at 87.53. U.S. crude was supported by hopes for higher Chinese demand, but gains were capped by concern about the risk of the U.S. stumbling into a recession in the absence of a deal to stop mandated tax rises. Uncertainty and turmoil in the Middle East also supported oil prices, with investors concerned about the potential for supply disruption in the region. The conflict in Syria threatens further instability in the Middle East and North Africa after a wave of uprisings since last year, including one in Libya that almost entirely cut crude exports from the North African producer. China will consume 9.9 million barrels a day of oil, 115,000 more than previously projected, in the last three months of this year, the International Energy Agency said in a Dec. 12 monthly report.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data December 17, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

 

Currency

 

 

Event

Actual

 

Forecast

 

Previous

 

 

Dec. 17

 

GBP

 

 

Rightmove House Price Index (MoM) 

-3.3%

 

 

 

-2.6% 

 

 

 

 

TRY

 

 

Turkish Quarterly Unemployment Rate 

9.10%

 

9.00% 

 

8.80% 

 

 

 

 

CAD

 

 

Foreign Securities Purchases 

13.26B

 

10.80B 

 

14.12B 

   

 

 

USD

 

 

NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 

-8.1

 

-1.0 

 

-5.2 

 

 

 

 

USD

 

 

TIC Net Long-Term Transactions 

1.3B

 

25.0B 

 

3.2B 

   

 

WEEKLY

  • This Week in Petroleum
    Release Schedule: Wednesday @ 1:00 p.m. EST (schedule)
  • Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update
    Release Schedule: Monday between 4:00 and 5:00 p.m. EST (schedule)
  • Weekly Petroleum Status Report
    Release Schedule: The wpsrsummary.pdf, overview.pdf, and Tables 1-14 in CSV and XLS formats, are released to the Web site after 10:30 a.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday. All other PDF and HTML files are released to the Web site after 1:00 p.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday. Appendix D is produced during the winter heating season, which extends from October through March of each year. For some weeks which include holidays, releases are delayed by one day. (schedule)

 

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

 Dec. 18

09:30

GBP

CPI (YoY) 

2.6%

2.7%

 

09:30

GBP

PPI Input (MoM) 

-0.1%

0.4%

 

09:30

GBP

CPI (MoM) 

0.2%

0.5%

 

09:30

GBP

PPI Input (YoY) 

-0.5%

0.1%

 

13:30

USD

Current Account 

-103.5B

-117.4B

Dec. 19

09:00

EUR

German Ifo Business Climate Index 

102.0

101.4

 

09:00

EUR

German Current Assessment 

108.0

108.1

 

09:00

EUR

German Business Expectations 

96.3

95.2

 

11:00

GBP

CBI Distributive Trades Survey 

25

33

 

13:30

USD

Building Permits 

0.875M

0.868M

 

13:30

USD

Housing Starts 

0.870M

0.894M

Dec. 20 

09:30

GBP

Retail Sales (MoM) 

0.3%

-0.8%

 

09:30

GBP

Retail Sales (YoY) 

1.5%

0.6%

Dec. 21

07:00

EUR

GfK German Consumer Climate 

5.9

5.9

 

09:30

GBP

Current Account 

-14.0B

-20.8B

 

09:30

GBP

GDP (QoQ) 

1.0%

1.0%

 

09:30

GBP

GDP (YoY) 

-0.1%

-0.1%

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country 

Dec 18 01:30 Japan 

Dec 18 09:30 Spain 

Dec 18 10:10 Greece 

Dec 18 18:00 US 

Dec 19 18:00 US 

Dec 20 10:30 UK 

Dec 20 16:30 Italy  

Dec 20 18:00 US 

Dec 21 16:30 Italy  

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