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Crude Oil Price Forecast August 16, 2017, Technical Analysis

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Aug 16, 2017, 08:36 UTC

WTI Crude Oil The WTI Crude Oil market broke down a bit more during the day on Tuesday, after the massive slaughter a price on Monday. Ultimately, the

Crude Oil daily chart, August 16, 2017

WTI Crude Oil

The WTI Crude Oil market broke down a bit more during the day on Tuesday, after the massive slaughter a price on Monday. Ultimately, the $47.50 level continues to be of great interest, and I believe that as we have the Crude Oil Inventories announcement coming out today, will be one of the most important levels to pay attention to. I think that if we continue to see bearish pressure all, the market should then break down below the $47 handle. At that point, the market should go much lower. However, if we can break above the $48 level, I would be very bullish. At least for the short term I would. However, I think that longer-term we still have a lot of bearish pressure in this market but I recognize that we are bit oversold in the short term.

Oil Forecast Video 16.8.17

Brent

The Brent market fell slightly during the day as well, testing the vitally important $50 level. That is a psychologically important number, so if we can break down below there I think that the market could continue to go much lower, probably to the $48 level next. Anytime that we rally from here, I would look to sell, and have no interest in trying to pick up the Brent market, unless of course the inventory number changes the complete outlook of the market, which I see as being very unlikely. The gasoline inventories in the United States continue to be flat, and that does not bode well for demand going forward. I think it’s only a matter of time before the sellers return anyway, so quite frankly I would love to see a bounce that I can start selling at higher levels, even if I will have to wait a few days to do so.

Brent daily chart, August 16, 2017

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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