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Crude Oil Price Forecast – crude oil markets get hammered again on Friday

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Nov 23, 2018, 18:30 UTC

The crude oil markets fell again during the day on Friday, breaking through the last vestiges of support again. This is a market that has been hammered for weeks on end, and it looks likely that we simply cannot trust any rally at this point.

Crude Oil daily chart, November 26, 2018

WTI Crude Oil

The WTI Crude Oil market broke down significantly during the trading session on Friday, losing roughly 7% in the middle of it. This is a market that looks like it is going to test the $50 level, which of course has a certain amount of psychological importance to it. I think at this point it’s likely that we will get a bit of a reaction from this level, but right now we don’t have any signs of strength or reliability on these rallies. I believe that the $55 level above will continue to offer resistance, so rallies will be faded.

Brent

Brent markets fared even worse from a percentage base during the day on Friday, slicing through the $60 level. Now that we have broken down below the $60 level, and it now looks like we are going to go to the $55 level after that. I believe that rallies at this point will probably continue to start selling off at various points, and the $65 level also looks to be massive resistance. I think that the market could continue to go much lower based upon the viciousness of the selloff, but obviously we are in and oversold condition. Because of this, I would expect the occasional rally, but those rallies will continue to attract a lot of sellers as we are starting to worry about global growth, and of course a lot of the reason this market went higher, the potential cutting off of oil from Iran, has now been wiped out.

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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