Advertisement
Advertisement

Crude Oil Price Forecast – Crude oil markets quiet on Friday

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Jun 28, 2019, 17:36 UTC

Crude oil markets did very little during the trading session on Friday as we continue to hang about the market waiting for results from the G 20 meeting, more specifically the conversation between the United States and China, as well as the tensions between the United States and Iran.

Crude Oil daily chart, July 01, 2019

WTI Crude Oil

The WTI Crude Oil market has gone back and forth during the trading session on Friday, dancing around the 200 day EMA. Below current trading we have a lot of support as well due to the gap ahead of the Wednesday session. Above current trading, we have the $60 level that could offer significant resistance, so if we were to break above there the market could go higher, perhaps reaching towards the $62.50 level. Ultimately, this is a market that has broken out so we have to think about the market as one that is solely reacting to headlines, especially the US/Iranian ones.

Crude Oil Inventories Video 01.07.19

Brent

Brent of course is doing the same thing, essentially hanging just above the $65 level. The 50 day moving average above is resistance, so if we can break above there then I think the market could go towards the $67.50 level which was previous support. These markets move in concert, so if we go in one direction or the other and one of them, the other one should follow right along.

Overall, this is a market that has just finished a “W pattern”, which is a very strong sign for buyers, as we may have put in a bottom. However, there is a lot of noise above, not only the $67.50 level being one of them, but the $70 level being another area where we could cause significant troubles as well. This is a market that is trying to break out, but is currently waiting for the next catalyst.

Please let us know what you think in the comments below

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

Did you find this article useful?

Advertisement