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Crude Oil Price Forecast February 19, 2018, Technical Analysis

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Feb 17, 2018, 09:10 UTC

Crude oil markets have rallied a bit during the trading session on Friday, as we get a bit of a snapback after the recent selloff. I think that a lot of traders out there are looking at the recent inventory number as “less bad” than originally feared. However, longer-term we still have a lot of issues with oversupply.

Crude Oil daily chart, February 19, 2018

WTI Crude Oil

The WTI Crude Oil market rallied slightly during the trading session on Friday, as we continue to see the market recover from the massive selloff. Ultimately, I think that the $62 level above is going to offer resistance, and at this point I think that it is likely that we will see sellers return sooner, rather than later. I believe that the US dollar falling has been part of the reason the oil market has rallied, but at the end of the day I think that oversupply is going to continue to be an issue as US drillers are pumping away.

Brent

Brent markets rallied a bit during the trading session on Friday as well, reaching towards the $65 level. The $66 level above is the end of significant resistance, as this is more of a “zone” to deal with, and therefore I think that it’s only a matter of time before the market roles over, because the uptrend line that had previously been so supportive is now going to offer a significant amount of resistance. At this point, I’m not interested in buying crude oil until we clear the $68 level, which would be a massive breakout of resistance. Ultimately, I think that the market will continue to see volatility, but I believe that we have seen the highs for the year, and I think that selling the rallies continues to work out in the end.

Crude Oil Inventories Video 19.02.18

Brent daily chart, February 19, 2018
Brent daily chart, February 19, 2018

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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