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Crude Oil Price Forecast February 20, 2018, Technical Analysis

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Feb 28, 2018, 05:13 UTC

Crude oil markets drifted a bit lower during the trading session on Tuesday, as we have tested significant resistance above. I believe that the $64 level begins significant resistance in the WTI market, and we are seeing very similar action in the Brent market.

Crude Oil Price Forecast February 20, 2018, Technical Analysis

WTI Crude Oil

The WTI Crude Oil market drifted lower during the trading session, losing over 1% during the trading session on Tuesday. The previous uptrend line is now offering resistance, especially near the $64 level. I think that there is significant resistance extending to the $65 level, so I don’t have any interest in trying to go long, least not until we break above that level. Ultimately, I believe that the market rolling over the way it has during the session on Tuesday, the market will probably continue to find sellers. I believe that the crude oil oversupply will continue to be an issue, and I think that given enough time we will go looking towards the $60 level.

Brent

Brent markets went sideways initially during the trading session as well, as $67.50 has a certain amount of resistance built in, not only due to structural situations, but the previous uptrend line as well. I think if we break down below the 6650 handle, the market should then go down to the $65 level next. Ultimately, I believe that level will be supportive, but I also believe that we could break down below there as I think that the highs for the year have already been put in. Expect a bit of noise, but I do believe that every time we rally on the short-term chart it will attract sellers as the US dollar has rallied a bit over the last 24 hours, while the supply of oil continues to be an issue.

Oil Forecast Video 28.02.18

Brent daily chart, February 28, 2018
Brent daily chart, February 28, 2018

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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