European stock markets, including Germany's DAX and the UK's FTSE, struggle as China's economic data adds pressure to already challenging conditions.
European stock markets faced significant headwinds on Wednesday, with the Stoxx 600 index over 1%. This decline was exacerbated by lackluster economic data from China, which further fueled concerns. Mining and energy sectors, down 1.8%, and utilities, down 1.7%, bore the brunt of the downturn.
The negative sentiment in Europe mirrored Wall Street’s poor performance, driven by hawkish comments from Federal Reserve member Christopher Waller. Additionally, similar hawkish sentiments from the European Central Bank (ECB) added to the pressure.
At 10:46 GMT, the broad-based Stoxx 600 Index is at 467.50, down 5.56 or -1.18%. Germany’s Dax Index is at 16398.43, down 173.25 or -1.05% and the UKs FTSE 100 Index is trading 7441.64, down 116.70 or -1.54%.
Amid these challenges, Joe Kaeser, chair of Siemens Energy, expressed more concern over Germany’s gloomy public sentiment than the country’s inflation rate. He emphasized the importance of a positive outlook and the need for the government to outline a clear plan regarding energy, jobs, and economic growth.
UniCredit’s CEO, Andrea Orcel, advocated for increased banking mergers in Europe, aiming to enhance competitiveness with U.S. banks and foster a stronger EU banking union.
ECB officials, including Christine Lagarde, cautioned against premature rate cut expectations, focusing on achieving their 2% inflation target.
The UK’s inflation unexpectedly surged to 4% in December, primarily due to rising alcohol and tobacco prices. This development may lead the Bank of England to reconsider rapid rate cuts.
The FTSE 100 struggled, influenced by both the unexpected inflation rise and China’s weaker economic data, adversely affecting commodity-linked stocks.
As global headwinds persist, the European and UK markets face a cautious short-term outlook, with China’s economic performance playing a pivotal role.
Key factors include speeches at the World Economic Forum in Davos and the upcoming consumer price data for the eurozone. Given the current economic headwinds and the ECB’s cautious stance, the market leans toward a bearish bias.
Traders should remain vigilant and consider potential downside risks in the near term amid increasing selling momentum. Keep an eye on US retail sales, due to be released at 13:30 GMT, they could set the tone late in the session.
The FTSE 100 Index is trading significantly lower after crossing to the weakside of the 50-day moving average at 7553.64. This followed a close under the longer-term 200-day moving average the previous session.
Sentiment is now bearish and both the medium and long-term trends are down with the moving averages new resistance.
Look for a test of the support at 7401.87 later today, based on the current momentum. We could see a technical bounce due to profit-taking, however, a failure to hold this level could trigger a further acceleration to the downside.
James is a Florida-based technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader with 35+ years of experience. He is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis as it applies to futures, Forex, and stocks.