Amid Wall Street's fluctuations, the Dax 30 and FTSE 100 Index show resilience yet remain cautious as traders await key U.S. economic indicators.
European markets are in flux, cautiously mirroring Wall Street’s moves. After a shaky start to the week, there’s a whiff of stabilization, mostly seen in the Stoxx 600 index and Germany’s DAX. Both indexes hinted at resilience, though the DAX is currently trending lower. With mixed sector performances, including gains in travel stocks and dips in the oil & gas sector, traders are awaiting crucial data from across the Atlantic to guide their next moves.
The DAX and Stoxx 600 indexes serve as bellwethers for European market sentiment, which has been rife with uncertainty. A decline in U.S. Treasury yields provided some respite to traders, leading to selective sectoral gains. While travel and leisure stocks saw an uptick, the pullback in Brent crude futures caused the oil & gas sector to slide. Market participants have their eyes set on the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls, whose outcomes could set the course for European indexes in the near term.
Switching focus to the UK, the FTSE indices showed signs of recovery, buoyed by a softer U.S. dollar and a pullback in long-term U.S. government yields. Unlike its European counterparts, the FTSE 100 and the domestically-focused FTSE 250 index managed to rebound from recent lows, making selective gains in construction and materials stocks.
Investor sentiment in UK shares was also influenced by company-specific news. While Metro Bank’s shares plummeted due to talks of an urgent capital raise, companies like Tesco saw their stocks climb thanks to multiple brokerages revising their target prices. The market also responded to Imperial Brands’ announcement of a share buyback program, reinforcing a sense of cautious optimism.
In summary, both European and UK markets are in a holding pattern, subject to the influence of forthcoming U.S. economic indicators. Short-term sentiment leans towards cautious optimism, but traders are clearly hedging their bets as they navigate an uncertain landscape filled with mixed signals.
Currently trading at 15087.32, the DAX index is below its 200-Day moving average of 15601.69 and its 50-Day moving average of 15718.16, indicating a bearish sentiment in the market.
Notably, the price is close to its minor support level of 15096.75 and significantly below its main resistance at 15723.01, suggesting that downside risk is more immediate than the upside potential.
The market’s positioning relative to these key moving averages and support levels indicates that traders may be hedging their bets for further downside. Therefore, current market sentiment leans bearish.
The Daily FTSE 100 Index’s current price of 7439.36 is notably below both the 200-Day and 50-Day moving averages, standing at 7640.55 and 7517.52 respectively, signaling bearish undertones.
The index also hovers just above its minor support level of 7438.83, barely distancing itself from the main support at 7335.66. Although the trend line resistance is at 7692.10, the market appears more poised to test its support levels.
Given this configuration, the current market sentiment for the Daily FTSE 100 Index leans decidedly bearish.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.