Based on the early trade, the direction of the index today is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the steep, short-term uptrending Gann angle at 2683.75.
March E-mini S&P 500 Index futures are expected to open higher based on the pre-market trade. Volume is expected to be below average as investors prepare for the long holiday weekend. The tax reform bill looks like a done deal although it may not be signed into law until after January 1. The market could face some headwinds due to concerns over a government shutdown and funding.
The main trend is up according to the daily swing chart. A trade through 2698.00 will signal a resumption of the uptrend. The trend will change to down on a move through 2651.75.
The short-term range is 2651.75 to 2698.00. Its retracement zone at 2674.75 to 2669.50 is the primary downside target. Since the main trend is up, buyers may show up on a test of this area.
Based on the early trade, the direction of the index today is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the steep, short-term uptrending Gann angle at 2683.75.
A sustained move over 2683.75 will indicate the presence of buyers. This could generate the upside momentum needed to challenge a longer-term uptrending Gann angle at 2702.50. Overcoming this angle will put the index in a bullish position with the next target angle coming in at 2715.75.
A sustained move under 2683.75 will signal the presence of sellers. This could trigger an acceleration into 2674.75. This is followed by 2669.50 and 2661.75.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.