The crisis in the U.S. regional banks sector may force the Fed to start cutting rates sooner than previously expected.
U.S. Dollar Index pulled back amid concerns about the health of the U.S. regional banks. JOLTs Job Openings and Factory Orders reports missed analyst expectations, which served as an additional bearish catalyst for the American currency.
In case U.S. Dollar Index settles below the 102 level, it will move towards the next support at 101.50. A successful test of this level will push U.S. Dollar Index towards the support at 101.05.
R1:102.30 – R2:102.65 – R3:102.80
S1:102.00 – S2:101.50 – S3:101.05
EUR/USD rebounded as traders reacted to the Euro Area inflation reports. The report showed that Euro Area Inflation Rate increased from 6.9% in March to 7% in April, while Euro Area Core Inflation Rate declined from 5.7% to 5.6%.
If EUR/USD settles back above 1.1000, it will move towards the next resistance at 1.1030. A move above 1.1030 will push EUR/USD towards the resistance at 1.1050.
R1:1.1000 – R2:1.1030 – R3:1.1050
S1:1.0970 – S2:1.0940 – S3:1.0910
GBP/USD pulled back as traders continued to take profits near yearly highs. Most likely, traders will stay cautious ahead of the Fed decision, which will be released tomorrow.
If GBP/USD settles below the support at 1.2460, it will move towards the next support level at 1.2430. On the upside, a move above 1.2500 will push GBP/USD towards the resistance at 1.2525.
R1:1.2500 – R2:1.2525 – R3:1.2550
S1:1.2460 – S2:1.2430 – S3:1.2400
USD/CAD rallied as oil markets found themselves under strong pressure. WTI oil declined by 5% amid concerns about the banking crisis in the U.S.
The nearest resistance level for USD/CAD is located at 1.3650. In case USD/CAD manages to settle above this level, it will move towards the resistance at 1.3680. A successful test of the resistance at 1.3680 will open the way to the test of the 1.3700 level.
R1:1.3650 – R2:1.3680 – R3:1.3700
S1:1.3610 – S2:1.3570 – S3:1.3550
USD/JPY pulled back as traders took some profits off the table after the recent rally. Fundamentally, the ultra-dovish policy of the BoJ will remain an important bearish catalyst for the yen.
If USD/JPY declines below the support at 136.50, it will move towards the next support level at 135.50. On the upside, a move above 137 will push USD/JPY towards the resistance at 137.90.
R1:137.00 – R2:137.90 – R3:139.00
S1:136.50 – S2:135.50 – S3:135.10
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Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.