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EUR/USD Price Forecast – The Euro Continues to Hang on To the 1.05 Level

By
Christopher Lewis
Published: Jun 22, 2022, 14:16 GMT+00:00

The Euro has fallen below the 1.05 level during trading on Wednesday but has turned around to claw back above it. At this point, the market looks as if it is trying to figure out what to do next.

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Euro vs US Dollar Technical Analysis

The Euro initially fell on Wednesday but has turned around a bit to show signs of life again. By doing so, it looks as if the market is going to continue to see a lot of confusion, therefore I think it’s a simple sign that we are trying to figure out exactly what it is the market is going to do next. Clearly, the Euro is a bearish instrument overall, but it is probably worth noting that the selling pressure is somewhat overdone. Because of this, we may get a little bit of a relief rally, but I would look at that as a selling opportunity.

The 50 Day EMA is grinding lower, currently hanging about the 1.0650 level. It is sloping downward, and I do think that it will eventually touch the price over the next couple of weeks. That should offer dynamic resistance, so I think rallies are going to be somewhat limited because of this. Furthermore, there is a cluster of selling just below the 1.08 level, which will be even more difficult to overcome.

Underneath, we formed a bit of a “double bottom” near the 1.04 level, and breaking down below there would of course open up fresh selling as it would be a significant breach of support. Ultimately, I think this is a market that will probably go below that level, perhaps reaching the 1.02 level eventually. Underneath that, then we would be looking at a move to parity, which a lot of people think will happen sometime this summer.

EUR/USD Price Forecast Video 23.06.22

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.

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