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EUR/USD Steps Below 200-Day SMA

By:
Aaron Hill
Published: Sep 4, 2023, 17:23 GMT+00:00

EUR/USD is seen exploring territory below the 200-day SMA, opening the door for a possible push for lower levels in the short term.

Euro, FX Empire

You may recall that the Research Team released a post on the EUR/USD at the end of August, detailing that upside momentum may be waning. https://www.fpmarkets.com/blog/upside-momentum-waning-on-eur-usd/

As evident from the monthly chart, the currency pair wrapped up August down -1.3%, following a reaction from resistance at $1.1233 in July, a level boasting a connection with the 50-month simple moving average at $1.1167. Further underperformance is possible, according to the monthly chart, with support not expected to make a show until $1.0516.

Adding to this bearish vibe from the monthly chart, we can see that on the daily timeframe, price action recently dipped a toe in waters south of the 200-day simple moving average at $1.0817. Traders and investors, therefore, may view this as a sign that further underperformance could be observed this week, zeroing in on daily support at $1.0689 as a viable downside objective.

From a shorter-term perspective, the H1 timeframe shows price recently whipsawed north of the $1.08 level and touched resistance from $1.0809. To the downside, the $1.0772 low (4 September) is a possible support target in the short term, closely shadowed by the lows around $1.0766 (25 August), both of which are circled. Now, if we should surpass the aforementioned lows, as suggested by the higher timeframes showing that the unit could explore territory as far south as daily support at $1.0689, H1 support calls for attention at $1.0746.

For the time being, therefore, EUR/USD offers a technically bearish environment.

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Charts: TradingView

DISCLAIMER:

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About the Author

Aaron Hillcontributor

Aaron graduated from the Open University and pursued a career in teaching, though soon discovered a passion for trading, personal finance and writing.

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