Analysis and Recommendations: The EUR/GBP is trading at 0.8039 with the euro continuing to decline. The pound sterling strengthened today against its
Analysis and Recommendations:
The EUR/GBP is trading at 0.8039 with the euro continuing to decline. The pound sterling strengthened today against its trading partners as the US dollar and the euro weakened on independent fiscal events. The US dollar is lower ahead of the two day meeting of the Federal Reserve and the euro has been weak ever since the ECB revised downward GDP through 2014 followed by this weekend’s surprise announcement that Italian Premier Mario Monti was resigning as soon as the budget was passed.
Markets are mixed, but generally shedding risk leading. Equities are weak, commodities are mixed, bond yields are lower outside of Europe and the USD is mixed.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Economic Data December 9, 2012 actual v. forecast
Date |
|
Currency |
|
|
Event |
Actual |
|
Forecast |
|
Previous |
|
|
Dec. 09 |
|
CNY |
|
|
Chinese CPI (YoY) |
2.0% |
|
2.1% |
|
1.7% |
|
|
|
|
CNY |
|
|
Chinese PPI (YoY) |
-2.2% |
|
-2.0% |
|
-2.8% |
|
|
|
|
CNY |
|
|
Chinese CPI (MoM) |
0.1% |
|
0.2% |
|
-0.1% |
|
|
|
|
CNY |
|
|
Chinese Fixed Asset Investment (YoY) |
20.7% |
|
20.8% |
|
20.7% |
|
|
|
|
CNY |
|
|
Chinese Industrial Production (YoY) |
10.1% |
|
9.8% |
|
9.6% |
|
|
|
|
CNY |
|
|
Chinese Retail Sales (YoY) |
14.9% |
|
14.6% |
|
14.5% |
Economic Data December 10, 2012 actual v. forecast
Date |
|
Currency |
|
|
Event |
Actual |
|
Forecast |
|
Previous |
|
|
Dec. 10 |
|
AUD |
|
|
Home Loans (MoM) |
0.1% |
|
3.0% |
|
1.1% |
||
|
|
CNY |
|
|
Chinese Trade Balance |
19.60B |
|
25.70B |
|
32.00B |
|
|
|
|
DKK |
|
|
Danish CPI (YoY) |
2.30% |
|
|
|
2.30% |
|
|
|
|
NOK |
|
|
Norwegian Core Inflation (MoM) |
0.00% |
|
0.10% |
|
0.00% |
|
|
|
|
NOK |
|
|
Norwegian CPI (MoM) |
0.10% |
|
0.10% |
|
0.50% |
|
|
|
|
CAD |
|
|
Housing Starts |
|
|
201.0K |
|
204.1K |
|
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD
Date |
Time |
Currency |
Event |
Forecast |
Previous |
Dec. 11 |
00:01 |
GBP |
-7% |
-7% |
|
|
10:00 |
EUR |
-12.0 |
-15.7 |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
-42.5B |
-41.6B |
|
Dec. 12 |
07:00 |
EUR |
-0.1% |
-0.1% |
|
|
07:00 |
EUR |
1.9% |
1.9% |
|
|
07:45 |
EUR |
|
0.1% |
|
|
09:30 |
GBP |
1.9% |
1.8% |
|
|
09:30 |
GBP |
7.0K |
10.1K |
|
|
10:00 |
EUR |
0.2% |
-2.5% |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
-0.5% |
0.5% |
|
|
19:00 |
USD |
-147.5B |
-120.0B |
|
Dec. 13 |
08:15 |
CHF |
-0.3% |
-0.1% |
|
|
11:00 |
GBP |
-16 |
-21 |
|
Dec. 14 |
07:58 |
EUR |
45.0 |
44.5 |
|
|
08:28 |
EUR |
47.2 |
46.8 |
|
|
10:00 |
EUR |
2.2% |
2.2% |
|
|
10:00 |
EUR |
|
1.5% |
Government Bond Auction
Date Time Country
Dec 11 09:30 Spain
Dec 11 10:10 Greece
Dec 11 10:15 Austria
Dec 11 10:30 Belgium
Dec 11 10:30 UK
Dec 11 18:00 US
Dec 12 10:10 Italy
Dec 12 10:10 Sweden
Dec 12 10:30 Swiss
Dec 12 16:30 US
Dec 13 01:30 Japan
Dec 13 09:30 Spain
Dec 13 10:10 Italy
Dec 13 10:30 UK
Dec 13 16:00 US
Dec 13 18:00 US
Dec 14 11:00 Belgium
Dec 14 15:30 UK