Analysis and Recommendations: The EUR/GBP added 14pips as the euro climbed against the crosses today. The focus today is on plans for a banking union,
The EUR/GBP added 14pips as the euro climbed against the crosses today. The focus today is on plans for a banking union, which we believe is a core component of the European framework going forward. The near-term discussion revolves around the supervisor, with the ECB appearing to be the only supra national that would be equipped for the role. However beyond this is which banks will fall under supervision, just the systemically important ones or all eurozone banks, followed by how to deal with those who are beyond the eurozone and finally whether or not there will be a resolution fund.
With the Bank of England and the European Central Bank both meeting this week, markets are kind of on hold ahead of the meetings. There was little news and no eco data to support either currency today. The pair is trading at 0.8126
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Economic Data December 4, 2012 actual v. forecast
Date |
|
Currency |
|
|
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
|
|
||
Dec. 04 |
|
AUD |
|
|
Building Approvals (MoM) |
-7.6% |
-2.0% |
9.5% |
||||
|
|
AUD |
|
|
Current Account |
-14.9B |
-14.8B |
-12.4B |
||||
|
|
AUD |
|
|
Interest Rate Decision |
3.00% |
3.00% |
3.25% |
|
|||
|
|
AUD |
|
|
RBA Rate Statement |
|
||||||
|
|
EUR |
|
|
Spanish Unemployment Change |
74.30K |
90.50K |
128.20K |
|
|||
|
|
BRL |
|
|
Brazilian Industrial Production (YoY) |
2.3% |
2.5% |
-3.6% |
||||
|
|
CAD |
|
|
Interest Rate Decision |
1.00% |
1.00% |
1.00% |
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD
Date |
Time |
Currency |
Event |
Forecast |
Previous |
Dec. 05 |
10:00 |
EUR |
-0.1% |
-0.2% |
|
|
13:15 |
USD |
125K |
158K |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
2.7% |
1.9% |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
-0.9% |
-0.1% |
|
|
15:00 |
USD |
53.5 |
54.2 |
|
Dec. 06 |
08:15 |
CHF |
0.1% |
||
|
09:30 |
GBP |
-8.8B |
-8.4B |
|
|
10:00 |
EUR |
-0.1% |
-0.1% |
|
|
11:00 |
EUR |
0.9% |
-3.3% |
|
|
12:00 |
GBP |
0.50% |
0.50% |
|
|
12:00 |
GBP |
375B |
375B |
|
|
12:45 |
EUR |
0.75% |
0.75% |
|
Dec. 07 |
09:30 |
GBP |
0.7% |
-1.7% |
|
|
09:30 |
GBP |
-0.2% |
0.1% |
|
|
09:30 |
GBP |
-0.6% |
-2.6% |
|
|
11:00 |
EUR |
-0.5% |
-1.8% |
Government Bond Auction
Date Time Country
Dec 05 09:30 Spain
Dec 05 10:30 Germany
Dec 05 11:00 Norway
Dec 05 15:30 Sweden
Dec 06 01:30 Japan
Dec 06 09:50 France
Dec 06 16:00 US
Dec 07 16:30 Italy