Analysis and Recommendations: The EUR/GBP tumbled to trade at 0.8089 falling 28 pips in sympathy to the EUR/USD which is also weak today. Both the BoE and
Analysis and Recommendations:
The EUR/GBP tumbled to trade at 0.8089 falling 28 pips in sympathy to the EUR/USD which is also weak today. Both the BoE and the ECB left key lending rates and monetary policy on hold today. The euro failed to react as S&P announced that it will cut Greece’s rating to SD (selective default) on the back of the buy-back offer, but will consider raising the rating back to CCC once the buy-back is completed. However early in the European session, rising hopes that the US would negotiate a deal and avert the fiscal cliff supported EUR. Fundamental data, including Eurozone Q3 GDP and Germany factory orders were released today with factory orders reporting well above forecast.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Economic Data December 6, 2012 actual v. forecast
Date |
|
Currency |
|
|
Event |
Actual |
|
Forecast |
|
Previous |
|
|
Dec. 06 |
|
AUD |
|
|
Employment Change |
13.9K |
|
0.2K |
|
10.1K |
||
|
|
AUD |
|
|
Unemployment Rate |
5.2% |
|
5.5% |
|
5.4% |
|
|
|
|
CHF |
|
|
Unemployment Rate |
3.0% |
|
3.0% |
|
3.0% |
|
|
|
|
GBP |
|
|
Halifax House Price Index (MoM) |
1.0% |
|
0.2% |
|
-0.1% |
||
|
|
CHF |
|
|
CPI (MoM) |
-0.3% |
|
0.0% |
|
0.1% |
|
|
|
|
GBP |
|
|
Trade Balance |
-9.5B |
|
-8.8B |
|
-8.4B |
||
|
|
EUR |
|
|
GDP (QoQ) |
-0.1% |
|
-0.1% |
|
-0.1% |
|
|
|
|
EUR |
|
|
German Factory Orders (MoM) |
3.9% |
|
0.9% |
|
-2.4% |
||
|
|
GBP |
|
|
Interest Rate Decision |
0.50% |
|
0.50% |
|
0.50% |
|
|
|
|
GBP |
|
|
BOE QE Total |
375B |
|
375B |
|
375B |
|
|
|
|
EUR |
|
|
Interest Rate Decision |
0.75% |
|
0.75% |
|
0.75% |
|
|
|
|
CAD |
|
|
Building Permits (MoM) |
15.0% |
|
3.0% |
|
-12.7% |
||
|
|
USD |
|
|
Initial Jobless Claims |
370K |
|
380K |
|
395K |
||
|
|
EUR |
|
|
ECB Press Conference |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
Continuing Jobless Claims |
3205K |
|
3275K |
|
3305K |
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD
Date |
Time |
Currency |
Event |
Forecast |
Previous |
Dec. 07 |
09:30 |
GBP |
0.7% |
-1.7% |
|
|
09:30 |
GBP |
-0.2% |
0.1% |
|
|
09:30 |
GBP |
-0.6% |
-2.6% |
|
|
11:00 |
EUR |
-0.5% |
-1.8% |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
0.2% |
0.0% |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
90K |
171K |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
34.4 |
34.4 |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
90K |
184K |
|
|
14:55 |
USD |
82.1 |
82.7 |
|
|
15:00 |
GBP |
0.5% |
Government Bond Auction
Date Time Country
Dec 07 16:30 Italy
Dec 10 10:10 Norway
Dec 10 10:10 Slovakia
Dec 10 15:30 UK
Dec 10 16:30 Italy
Dec 11 09:30 Spain
Dec 11 10:10 Greece
Dec 11 10:15 Austria
Dec 11 10:30 Belgium
Dec 11 10:30 UK
Dec 11 18:00 US
Dec 12 10:10 Italy
Dec 12 10:10 Sweden
Dec 12 10:30 Swiss
Dec 12 16:30 US
Dec 13 01:30 Japan
Dec 13 09:30 Spain
Dec 13 10:10 Italy
Dec 13 10:30 UK
Dec 13 16:00 US
Dec 13 18:00 US
Dec 14 11:00 Belgium
Dec 14 15:30 UK