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EUR/GBP Fundamental Analysis January 1, 2013, Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 21, 2015, 02:00 UTC

Analysis and Recommendations: The EUR/GBP is trading at 0.8152 falling 21pips today as traders sold off the euro to the benefit of the safety of the US

EUR/GBP Fundamental Analysis January 1, 2013, Forecast

EUR/GBP Fundamental Analysis January 1, 2013, Forecast
EUR/GBP Fundamental Analysis January 1, 2013, Forecast
Analysis and Recommendations:

The EUR/GBP is trading at 0.8152 falling 21pips today as traders sold off the euro to the benefit of the safety of the US dollar. The GBP remained flat against most of its trading partners with little eco data or news to move the markets as traders remain focused on the US fiscal negotiations. Given that budget talks have been dragging on for months, that the fiscal measures will have only a gradual impact and that many investors had priced in very little chance of a deal by year end, strategists said a major sell-off in growth-linked currencies and assets on Wednesday was unlikely.

Although traders are shedding risk in favor of the US dollar as markets at this point do not expect any agreements anytime soon. Negotiations will drag into the new year and will now once again focus on the debt ceiling also.

Our fundamental analysis will not be published tomorrow, as we celebrated the New Year’s holiday and global markets are shuttered. I would like to take this time to wish all of my readers and followers the best in the New Year… Here’s to profitable trading.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data December 31, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

Time

 

Currency

 

Importance

 

Event

Actual

 

Forecast

 

Previous

 

 

Dec. 31

00:30

 

AUD

 

 

 

Private Sector Credit (MoM) 

0.0%

 

0.3% 

 

0.1% 

 

 

 

01:45

 

CNY

 

 

 

Chinese HSBC Manufacturing PMI 

51.50

 

50.90 

 

50.90 

 

 

 

02:00

 

SGD

 

 

 

Singaporean Bank Landing (MoM) 

481.70B

 

 

 

479.40B 

 

 

 

09:30

 

GBP

 

 

 

Housing Equity Withdrawal (QoQ) 

-8.0B

 

-9.1B 

 

-9.4B 

   

 

10:00

 

EUR

 

 

 

Greek Retail Sales (YoY) 

-18.10%

 

 

 

-11.80% 

   

 

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

Jan. 01

01:00

CNY

Chinese Manufacturing PMI 

51.00 

50.60 

Jan. 02

00:00

EUR

German CPI (MoM) 

0.7% 

-0.1% 

 

00:00

EUR

German CPI (YoY) 

1.9% 

1.9% 

 

08:00

CHF

KOF Leading Indicators 

1.38 

1.50 

 

15:00

USD

ISM Manufacturing Index 

50.2 

49.5 

 Jan. 03

08:00

CHF

KOF Leading Indicators 

1.35 

1.50 

 

08:30

CHF

SVME PMI 

48.5 

48.5 

 

08:55

EUR

German Unemployment Change 

10K 

5K 

Upcoming Government Bond

Date Time Country 

Thursday, January 5: France will auction an estimated €7-8 billion ($9.1-10.4 billion) in 10-year and other long-term bonds 

Tuesday, January 10: Austria will auction €1.3 billion ($1.7 billion) in 5- and 10-year bonds

Thursday, January 12: Spanish 3- and 5-year bond auction

Friday, January 13: Italy will auction medium-long term bonds

Thursday, January 19: France will auction 5-year bonds

Thursday, January 19: Spanish 10-, 15-, and 30-year bond auction

Thursday, January 26: Italian long-term bond auction

Monday, January 30: Italian medium-long term bond auction

Monday, January 30: Belgian bond auction

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