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EUR/GBP Fundamental Analysis May 8, 2012, Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Jan 1, 2011, 00:00 GMT+00:00

Analysis and Recommendations: The EUR/GBP is trading at 0.8065, with UK markets closed today for the Spring Bank Holiday, there was little action here. It

EUR/GBP Fundamental Analysis May 8, 2012, Forecast

Analysis and Recommendations:

The EUR/GBP is trading at 0.8065, with UK markets closed today for the Spring Bank Holiday, there was little action here. It was mostly about weakness in the euro, as election and politics fostered negative sentiment.

Worries about ideology and political savvy between Merkel and Hollande are the main picture, will these two be able to work together, with such differing opinions or will we see new alliances in the eurozone.

 

Spain will also move the front stage this week, with little in the way of eco data, the press will be looking for something to report.

 

Economic Releases May 7, 2012 actual v. forecast

 

 

 

AUD

 

 

 

Building Approvals (MoM) 

7.4%

 

3.1% 

 

-8.8% 

 

 

 

AUD

 

 

 

NAB Business Confidence 

4

 

 

 

 

 

 

AUD

 

 

 

Retail Sales (MoM) 

0.9%

 

0.2% 

 

0.3% 

 

 

 

CHF

 

 

 

Unemployment Rate 

3.1%

 

3.1% 

 

3.0% 

 

 

 

CHF

 

 

 

CPI (MoM) 

0.1%

 

0.2% 

 

0.6% 

 

 

 

EUR

 

 

 

German Factory Orders (MoM) 

2.2%

 

0.5% 

 

0.6% 

 

 

 

CAD

 

 

 

Building Permits (MoM) 

4.7%

 

-1.5% 

 

7.6% 

 

Economic Events for May 8, 2012

00:01   GBP              RICS House Price Balance                           -10%               -10%

02:30   AUD             Trade Balance                                              -1.40B             -0.48B

06:45   CHF               GDP                                                                                        0.1%

06:45   CHF              SECO Consumer Climate                            -18                   -19

13:15   CAD             Housing Starts                                               202K             216K

Government Bond Auctions (this week)

Date  Time  Country 

May 08  09:15  Austria 

May 08  09:30  Belgium 

May 08  14:30  UK 

May 08  15:30  Italy  

May 08  17:00  US 

May 09  09:10  Sweden 

May 09  09:30  Germany 

May 09  09:30  Swiss 

May 09  09:30  UK 

May 09  14:30  Sweden 

May 09  15:30  Italy  

May 09  17:00  US 

May 10  15:00  US 

May 10  17:00  US 

May 11  09:10  Italy   BOT auction

May 11  10:00  Belgium

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