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EUR/GBP Fundamental Analysis – November 13, 2015 – Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Published: Nov 12, 2015, 11:28 UTC

Analysis and Recommendations: The EUR/GBP added 6 points as both currencies traded on a weak noted against the stronger US dollar. The pair is trading at

EUR/GBP Fundamental Analysis – November 13, 2015 – Forecast

eurgbp thursday bns
Analysis and Recommendations:

The EUR/GBP added 6 points as both currencies traded on a weak noted against the stronger US dollar. The pair is trading at 0.7067. In an address to the European Parliament Draghi said inflation dynamics had somewhat weakened and that a “sustained normalization” of inflation could take longer to achieve than thought. : The head of the European Central Bank underscored on Thursday the bank’s readiness to extend money printing, warning that a key measure of economic health – price inflation – was flagging.

Sterling drifted back towards six-month lows against the dollar as traders refocused on the risks posed by a looming referendum on Britain’s membership of the European Union. British Prime Minister David Cameron will say in a letter to the European Council president on Tuesday that his demands for EU reform are not “Mission Impossible” but rather the price leaders must pay if he is to keep Britain in the bloc.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Today’s economic releases:

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  NZD

 

Business NZ PMI (Oct)

53.3

 

55.4

 

 

  GBP

 

RICS House Price Balance (Oct)

49%

45%

44%

 

 

  AUD

 

Employment Change (Oct)

58.6K

15.0K

-0.8K

   

  AUD

 

Full Employment Change (Oct)

40.0K

 

-10.4K

   

  AUD

 

Unemployment Rate (Oct)

5.9%

6.2%

6.2%

 

 

  EUR

 

German CPI (MoM) (Oct)

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

 

 

  CNY

 

New Loans

514.0B

800.0B

1,050.0B

 

 

  EUR

 

ECB President Draghi Speaks  

 

 

 

 

 

  EUR

 

Industrial Production (MoM) (Sep)

 

-0.1%

-0.5%

 

 

  USD

 

Initial Jobless Claims

 

270K

276K

 

 

  USD

 

FOMC Member Bullard Speaks  

 

 

 

 

 

  USD

 

Fed Chair Yellen Speaks  

 

 

 

 

 

  USD

 

JOLTs Job Openings (Sep)

 

5.370M

5.370M

 

 

  USD

 

Crude Oil Inventories

 

1.016M

2.847M

 

 

  USD

 

FOMC Member Dudley Speaks  

 

 

 

   

 

eurgbp

Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

Friday, November 13, 2015

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  JPY

 

Industrial Production (MoM) (Sep)

 

1.0%

1.0%

 

 

  JPY

 

Tertiary Industry Activity Index

 

0.2%

0.1%

 

 

  EUR

 

German GDP (YoY) (Q3)  

 

1.8%

1.6%

 

 

  EUR

 

German GDP (QoQ) (Q3)  

 

0.3%

0.4%

 

 

  EUR

 

GDP (YoY) (Q3)  

 

1.7%

1.5%

 

 

  EUR

 

GDP (QoQ) (Q3)  

 

0.4%

0.4%

 

 

  EUR

 

Trade Balance (Sep)

 

18.2B

11.2B

 

 

  USD

 

Core PPI (MoM) (Oct)

 

0.1%

-0.3%

 

 

  USD

 

Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Oct)

 

0.4%

-0.3%

 

 

  USD

 

PPI (MoM) (Oct)

 

0.2%

-0.5%

 

 

  USD

 

Retail Sales (MoM) (Oct)

 

0.3%

0.1%

 

 

  USD

 

Business Inventories (MoM) (Sep)

 

0.1%

0.0%

 

 

  USD

 

Michigan Consumer Expectations

 

84.0

82.1

 

 

  USD

 

Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Nov)  

 

91.5

90.0

 

 

  USD

 

FOMC Member Mester Speaks  

 

 

 

 

 

  USD

 

Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count

 

 

572

   

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country

Nov 12 11:10 Italy Auctions BTPs/CCTeus

Nov 12 11:30 UK 4.25% 2039 Gilt auction

Nov 12 19:00 US Holds 30-year bond auction

Nov 18 11:30 Germany New Eur 5bn Dec 2017 Schatz

Nov 18 10:30 UK 2% 2025 Gilt auction

Nov 18 10:30 Portugal Eur 1-1.25bn; bond auction

Nov 18 15:30 Sweden Announces details of Bond on 25 Nov

Nov 18 N/A Holland Announces details of Bond on 24 Nov

Nov 19 09:30 Spain Auctions Bonos/Obligaciones

Nov 19 10:50 France Auctions BTANs

Nov 19 11:50 France Auctions OATi

Nov 19 N/A US Holds 10-year TIPS auction

Nov 20 16:30 Italy Announces details of CTZ/BTPei on 25 Nov

 

 

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