Analysis and Recommendations: The EUR/GBP fell 11 points as the euro tanked today on weak German producers’ price and comments from both the ECB and the
The EUR/GBP fell 11 points as the euro tanked today on weak German producers’ price and comments from both the ECB and the German Central Banker. The pair is trading at 0.7009. Britain’s currency was set for its second weekly gain versus the euro after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said on Friday officials will do what’s necessary to “raise inflation as quickly as possible.” In contrast to the ECB, Bank of England policy makers are debating when to lift interest rates off their record lows, even though markets remain skeptical they will do so in 2016.
“The BOE is going to hike rates while the ECB is still trying to talk down its currency,” said Stuart Bennett, London-based head of Group-of-10 currency strategy at Banco Santander SA. He said even if the BOE don’t raise rates in February next year, as he predicts, they will go “sooner than the market expects and that isn’t in the price.”
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Today’s economic releases:
Cur. |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
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JPY |
BoJ Monthly Report |
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EUR |
German PPI (MoM) (Oct) |
-0.4% |
-0.2% |
-0.4% |
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EUR |
ECB President Draghi Speaks |
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EUR |
German Buba President Weidmann |
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USD |
FOMC Member Bullard Speaks |
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USD |
FOMC Member Dudley Speaks |
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Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:
Monday, November 23, 2015
Cur. |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
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Japan – Labour Thanksgiving Day |
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EUR |
German Manufacturing PMI (Nov) |
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52.1 |
52.1 |
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EUR |
German Services PMI (Nov) |
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54.3 |
54.5 |
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EUR |
Manufacturing PMI (Nov) |
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52.3 |
52.3 |
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EUR |
Markit Composite PMI (Nov) |
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53.9 |
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EUR |
Services PMI (Nov) |
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54.0 |
54.1 |
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EUR |
Eurogroup Meetings |
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USD |
Manufacturing PMI (Nov) |
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54.1 |
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USD |
Existing Home Sales (Oct) |
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5.44M |
5.55M |
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USD |
Existing Home Sales (MoM) (Oct) |
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4.7% |
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Government Bond Auctions
Date Time Country
Nov 20 16:30 Italy Announces details of CTZ/BTPei on 25 Nov
Nov 23 12:00 Belgium Auctions OLOs
Nov 23 N/A US Holds 2-year note auction
Nov 24 17:30 Italy Announces details of BTPs/CCTeu on 27 Nov
Nov 24 N/A Holland Eur 1.0-2.0bn 0.25% Jul 2025 DSL
Nov 24 N/A US Holds 5-year note auction
Nov 25 11:03 Sweden Holds bond auction
Nov 25 11:10 Italy Auctions CTZ/BTPei
Nov 25 11:30 Germany Eur 3bn 1.0% Aug 2025 Bund
Nov 25 N/A US Holds 2-year FRN auction
Nov 25 N/A US Holds 7-year note auction
Nov 26 11:03 Sweden Holds bond auction
Nov 27 11:03 Sweden Holds bond auction
Nov 27 11:10 Italy Auctions BTPs/CCTeus