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EUR/GBP Fundamental Analysis – November 23, 2015 – Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Published: Nov 20, 2015, 14:22 UTC

Analysis and Recommendations: The EUR/GBP fell 11 points as the euro tanked today on weak German producers’ price and comments from both the ECB and the

EUR/GBP Fundamental Analysis – November 23, 2015 – Forecast

eurgbp friday bns
Analysis and Recommendations:

The EUR/GBP fell 11 points as the euro tanked today on weak German producers’ price and comments from both the ECB and the German Central Banker.  The pair is trading at 0.7009.  Britain’s currency was set for its second weekly gain versus the euro after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said on Friday officials will do what’s necessary to “raise inflation as quickly as possible.” In contrast to the ECB, Bank of England policy makers are debating when to lift interest rates off their record lows, even though markets remain skeptical they will do so in 2016.

“The BOE is going to hike rates while the ECB is still trying to talk down its currency,” said Stuart Bennett, London-based head of Group-of-10 currency strategy at Banco Santander SA. He said even if the BOE don’t raise rates in February next year, as he predicts, they will go “sooner than the market expects and that isn’t in the price.”

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Today’s economic releases:

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  JPY

 

BoJ Monthly Report

 

 

 

 

 

  EUR

 

German PPI (MoM) (Oct)

-0.4%

-0.2%

-0.4%

 

 

  EUR

 

ECB President Draghi Speaks  

 

 

 

 

 

  EUR

 

German Buba President Weidmann

 

 

 

 

 

  USD

 

FOMC Member Bullard Speaks  

 

 

 

 

 

  USD

 

FOMC Member Dudley Speaks  

 

 

 

   

 

eurgbp

Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

Monday, November 23, 2015

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

 

 

 

Japan – Labour Thanksgiving Day

  EUR

 

German Manufacturing PMI (Nov)

 

52.1

52.1

 

 

  EUR

 

German Services PMI (Nov)

 

54.3

54.5

 

 

  EUR

 

Manufacturing PMI (Nov)

 

52.3

52.3

 

 

  EUR

 

Markit Composite PMI (Nov)

 

 

53.9

 

 

  EUR

 

Services PMI (Nov)

 

54.0

54.1

 

 

  EUR

 

Eurogroup Meetings  

 

 

 

 

 

  USD

 

Manufacturing PMI (Nov)

 

 

54.1

 

 

  USD

 

Existing Home Sales (Oct)

 

5.44M

5.55M

 

 

  USD

 

Existing Home Sales (MoM) (Oct)

 

 

4.7%

 

 

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country

Nov 20 16:30 Italy Announces details of CTZ/BTPei on 25 Nov

Nov 23 12:00 Belgium Auctions OLOs

Nov 23 N/A US Holds 2-year note auction

Nov 24 17:30 Italy Announces details of BTPs/CCTeu on 27 Nov

Nov 24 N/A Holland Eur 1.0-2.0bn 0.25% Jul 2025 DSL

Nov 24 N/A US Holds 5-year note auction

Nov 25 11:03 Sweden Holds bond auction

Nov 25 11:10 Italy Auctions CTZ/BTPei

Nov 25 11:30 Germany Eur 3bn 1.0% Aug 2025 Bund

Nov 25 N/A US Holds 2-year FRN auction

Nov 25 N/A US Holds 7-year note auction

Nov 26 11:03 Sweden Holds bond auction

Nov 27 11:03 Sweden Holds bond auction

Nov 27 11:10 Italy Auctions BTPs/CCTeus

 

 

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