Analysis and Recommendations: The EUR/JPY is trading at 136.41 gaining 17 points in the Asian session as the euro continued to gain momentum with little
The EUR/JPY is trading at 136.41 gaining 17 points in the Asian session as the euro continued to gain momentum with little in the way of supporting data. The greenback rose for the third time in four days versus the euro as analysts predict European data today will show industrial production slumped in August. The Tokyo financial markets tried to take stock of recent developments after the Japanese markets were closed on Monday for a public holiday.
Weak signals from Germany, the euro zone’s largest economy, and signs of uneven growth in China have contributed to recent global growth concerns.
Expected divergence between U.S. monetary policy and those of the euro zone and Japan was a key ingredient fuelling the dollar’s surge to a two-year high versus the euro and six-year peak against the yen at the start of the month.
With Germany’s economic outlook and its potential impact on the Fed’s views on the global economy in recent focus, the currency market will scrutinize Germany’s ZEW sentiment index and euro zone industrial output due later in the session.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more recent analysis and information in our weekly reports and we provide daily updates and outlooks.
Today’s economic releases actual vs. forecast:
Cur. |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
|||
|
JPY |
CGPI (YoY) (Sep) |
3.5% |
3.6% |
3.9% |
|
|
|
JPY |
CGPI (MoM) (Sep) |
-0.1% |
-0.1% |
-0.2% |
|
|
|
JPY |
M2 Money Stock (YoY) |
3.0% |
2.9% |
3.0% |
|
|
|
AUD |
NAB Bus. Confidence |
5 |
|
7 |
||
|
AUD |
NAB Business Survey |
1 |
|
4 |
|
|
|
NZD |
RBNZ Offshore Holdings |
63.70% |
|
65.00% |
Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:
Cur. |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
|||
Wednesday, October 15 |
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|
CNY |
CPI (YoY) (Sep) |
|
1.7% |
2.0% |
|
|
|
EUR |
ECB President Draghi |
|
|
|
|
|
|
GBP |
Claimant Count Change |
|
-35.0K |
-37.2K |
|
|
|
USD |
Core Retail Sales (MoM) |
|
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
|
|
USD |
PPI (MoM) (Sep) |
|
0.1% |
0.0% |
|
|
|
USD |
Retail Sales (MoM) |
|
-0.1% |
0.6% |
|
|
|
EUR |
ECB President Draghi |
|
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Government Bond Auction
Date Time Country Auction
Oct 14 08:30 Spain 6 & 12M T-bill auction
Oct 14 09:30 Belgium 3 & 12M T-bill auction (Jan & Oct 2015)
Oct 15 09:03 Sweden Bond auction
Oct 15 09:30 Germany Eur 4.0bn Sep 2016 Schatz auction
Oct 16 08:30 Spain Bono/Obligacion auction
Oct 16 09:30 UK Auctions 0.125% 2024 I/L Gilt
Oct 16 15:00 US Announces details of 30Y TIPS auction on Oct 23