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European Equities: U.S Retail Sales, the FED, and Omicron in Market Focus

By:
Bob Mason
Published: Dec 14, 2021, 23:43 GMT+00:00

Eurozone member state inflation and U.S inflation figures are due out today. Expect the U.S inflation figures to be key as the markets look ahead to the FED's heavily anticipated policy decision and projections.

Red arrow pointing down against stocks and shares

Economic Calendar

Wednesday, 15th December

French CPI (MoM) (Nov) Final

French HICP (MoM) (Nov) Final

Spanish CPI (YoY) (Nov) Final

Spanish HICP (YoY) (Nov) Final

Italian CPI (MoM) (Nov) Final

Thursday, 16th December

French Manufacturing PMI (Dec) Prelim

French Services PMI (Dec) Prelim

German Manufacturing PMI (Dec) Prelim

German Services PMI (Dec) Prelim

Eurozone Private Sector PMIs (Dec) Prelim

Eurozone Wages / Trade Data

ECB Policy Decision and Press Conference

Friday, 17th December

German PPI (MoM) (Nov)

German Ifo Business Climate Index (Dec)

Eurozone Inflation (Nov) Final

The Majors

It was another bearish day for the European majors on Tuesday.

The DAX30 slid by 1.08%, with the CAC40 and EuroStoxx600 falling by 0.69% and by 0.71% respectively.

Economic data from the Eurozone failed to deliver support. Market jitters over pending policy decisions from the FED and the ECB, coupled with concerns over the Omicron strain continued to weigh on risk appetite.

From the U.S, a pickup in wholesale inflationary pressures in November added to the market angst.

The Stats

October industrial production figures for the Eurozone were in focus early in the European session.

In October, industrial production rose by 1.1%, reversing a 0.2% decline from September. Economists had forecast a 1.2% increase.

According to Eurostat,

  • Production of capital goods rose by 3.0% and durable consumer goods by 1.7%.
  • There were also increases in the production of non-durable consumer goods (+0.4%) and energy (+0.1%).
  • The production of intermediate goods fell by 0.6%, however.
  • By member state, Germany and Slovakia (both +3.0%) and Greece (+2.5%) had the largest increases in production.
  • Estonia (-2.4%), Latvia (-1.5%), and the Netherlands (-0.9%) had the largest falls in production.
  • Compared with October 2020, industrial production rose by 3.3% after having risen by 5.1% in September.
  • Year-on-year, energy production was a drag, falling by 1.0%.
  • By member state, Lithuania and Greece led the way, with production up by 22.7% and by 17.2% respectively.
  • Portugal led the way down, however, with production falling by 6.5% when compared with October 2020.

From the U.S

Wholesale inflation figures for November were in focus as the FOMC meeting got underway.

In November, the core producer price index rose by 0.7% following a 0.4% increase in October. The producer price index rose by 0.8% off the back of a 0.6% increase in October. Economists had forecast increases of 0.4% and 0.5% respectively.

The annual core rate of wholesale inflation accelerated from 7.0% to 7.7% in November.

The Market Movers

For the DAX: It was a bearish day for the auto sector on Tuesday. Daimler slid by 2.90%, with BMW and Continental falling by 1.59% and by 1.40% respectively. Volkswagen ended the day with a more modest 0.17% loss.

It was a bullish day for the banks, however. Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank ended the day with gains of 1.48% and 2.26% respectively.

From the CAC, it was also a bullish day for the banks Credit Agricole and Soc Gen rose by 0.87% and by 0.99% respectively, with BNP Paribas gaining 0.16%.

The French auto sector struggled, however. Stellantis NV and Renault ended the day down by 0.20% and by 1.24% respectively.

Air France-KLM rose by 0.79%, while Airbus SE ended the day with a 0.56% loss.

On the VIX Index

It was a 2nd consecutive day in the green for the  VIX on Tuesday.

Following an 8.67% increase on Monday, the VIX rose by 7.78% to end the day at 21.89.

The NASDAQ slid by 1.14%, with the Dow and the S&P500 falling by 0.30% and by 0.75% respectively.

The Day Ahead

It’s a relatively busy day ahead on the Eurozone’s economic calendar. Finalized November inflation figures for France, Spain, and Italy will be in focus in the early part of the day. Barring marked revisions to prelims, however, we don’t expect any lasting impact on the majors.

From the U.S, retail sales figures will draw plenty of interest, however, with the FOMC policy decision and projections due out after the European close.

Away from the economic calendar, however, expect Omicron news updates to remain key.

Following two consecutive days in the red for the European majors ahead of the FED policy decision, another testy day ahead is likely.

The Futures

In the futures markets, at the time of writing, the Dow Mini was down by 8 points.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Bob Masonauthor

With over 28 years of experience in the financial industry, Bob has worked with various global rating agencies and multinational banks. Currently he is covering currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes and global equities, focusing mostly on European and Asian markets.

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