As was mentioned in previous report, considering that EURUSD had failed to hold and decisively weakened below 1.3300 - 1.3280 support marked by the lower
As was mentioned in previous report, considering that EURUSD had failed to hold and decisively weakened below 1.3300 – 1.3280 support marked by the lower trend-line of an ascending channel formation on daily chart, the pair seemed vulnerable to further downfall.
On Friday last week and on Monday, drifted lower towards a very strong support that has emerged near 1.3180 – 1.3200 zone. On Tuesday, the pair is holding steady near 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement Level of July – August 2013 up-move and is currently quoting at 1.3188 ahead of the US ISM Manufacturing PMI data, scheduled for release later on Tuesday. Also read: Important Events Lined-up In The Upcoming Week
Should the pair now weaken below 1.3200 – 1.3180 strong support zone, the pair seems to immediately test the 200-day SMA support, currently near 1.3150 – 1.3140 zone.
Further, a decisive break below 1.3200 – 1.3180 and failure to hold 200-day SMA support could possibly trigger further near-term downfall for the currency pair towards a very important psychological support at 1.3000 level. 50% Fibonacci Retracement Level, 1.3080 – 1.3100 zone, could provide some intermediate support for the currency pair.
On the upside, Monday’s high near 1.3230 level now seems to act as immediate resistance for the currency pair. This is closely followed by resistance at 1.3300 – 1.3280 zone, previous strong support that could now act as important resistance also representing 38.2% retracement level.
Near-term outlook for the currency pair remain bearish and the pair could be vulnerable to further weakness initially towards 200-day SMA support and then towards important psychological level of 1.3000.
However, a decisively pull-back above 1.3300 important resistance might negate the short-term bearish outlook for the currency pair.