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GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis June 24, 2014 Forecast

By
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 24, 2015, 02:00 GMT+00:00

Analysis and Recommendations: The GBP/USD is trading at 107020 up by 5 points. The pound was 0.2 percent from the highest level in more than five years

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis June 24, 2014 Forecast
GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis June 24, 2014 Forecast

Analysis and Recommendations:

The GBP/USD is trading at 107020 up by 5 points. The pound was 0.2 percent from the highest level in more than five years against the dollar as data showed speculators increased their bets on its appreciation to the most since 2007. Sterling approached the strongest level since October 2012 versus the euro before a report this week that analysts said will confirm the U.K. grew 0.8 percent in the first quarter. An improving economy prompted Bank of England Governor Mark Carney to say on June 12 an interest-rate increase may happen sooner than markets anticipated, a message reiterated in minutes of this month’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting released last week. U.K. government bonds rose.

Today sterling is again rather well bid. The UK currency is supported by comments from BoE’s Miles. He said that it is more likely that policy normalization will become appropriate during his remaining last year on the MPC. Cable is drifting back up from the 1.70 area after Friday’s correction. The economics calendar is thin today so not much action is expected here until the release of US housing data, which will hopefully show an improvement in the US housing markets.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data June 23, 2014 actual v. forecast

Time

Cur.

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

01:45

  CNY

Chinese HSBC Manufacturing PMI  

50.8

49.7

49.4

 

06:00

  JPY

BoJ Governor Kuroda Speaks  

 

 

 

 

07:00

  EUR

French Manufacturing PMI  

47.8

49.5

49.6

 

07:00

  EUR

French Services PMI  

48.2

49.4

49.1

 

07:30

  EUR

German Manufacturing PMI  

52.4

52.5

52.3

 

07:30

  EUR

German Services PMI  

54.8

55.7

56.0

 

08:00

  EUR

Manufacturing PMI  

51.9

52.2

52.2

 

08:00

  EUR

Services PMI  

52.8

53.3

53.2

 

14:00

  USD

Existing Home Sales

 

4.73M

4.65M

 

14:00

  USD

Existing Home Sales (MoM)

 

2.2%

1.3%

 

 

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the EUR, GBP and USD

Date

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

Jun. 24

EUR

German Ifo Business Climate Index 

110.2

110.4

 

EUR

German Current Assessment 

115.0

114.8

 

EUR

German Business Expectations 

106.0

106.2

 

USD

S&P/CS HPI Composite – 20 (YoY) 

11.8%

12.4%

 

USD

CB Consumer Confidence 

83.0

83.0

 

USD

New Home Sales 

450K

433K

 

USD

New Home Sales (MoM) 

 

6.4%

Government Bond Auction

Date Country 

Jun 24 08:00 Holland

Jun 24 08:30 Spain

Jun 24 09:00 Norway

Jun 24 15:30 Italy

Jun 24 15:30 UK

Jun 25 09:10 Italy

Jun 25 15:30 US

Jun 25 17:00 US

Jun 26 00:30 Japan

Jun 26 09:10 Italy

Jun 26 17:00 US

Jun 27 09:10 Italy

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