Analysis and Recommendations: The GBP/USD dipped to trade at 1.6136, after the initial drop of the US dollar yesterday after the FOMC decision and the
The GBP/USD dipped to trade at 1.6136, after the initial drop of the US dollar yesterday after the FOMC decision and the surprises in Mr. Bernanke’s presentation and the changes to Fed policy and guidance, traders are slowly recovering and pushing the dollar back upwards. The US dollar is slowly rebounding gaining against the pound and the turning the euro around. Traders took advantage of the elevated prices of the pound with the weak dollar to sell off and take profits as the year comes to an end.
Some strategists said sterling could strengthen against the dollar in coming weeks, however, if Bank of England policymakers hold off from signaling further easing in Britain.
Sterling dipped 0.1 percent to $1.6131, retreating from a six-week high of $1.6173 hit on Wednesday after the Fed said it would bolster its quantitative easing programme by $45 billion a month, on top of $40 billion the Fed is already buying in mortgage-backed securities.
The pound has rallied more than 2 percent against the dollar in the last month as markets positioned for more asset-purchasing from the Fed, prompting some investors to take profit on earlier bets that the pound would rise.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Economic Data December 13, 2012 actual v. forecast
Date |
|
Currency |
|
|
Event |
Actual |
|
Forecast |
|
Previous |
|
|
Dec. 13 |
|
KRW |
|
|
South Korean Interest Rate Decision |
2.75% |
|
2.75% |
|
2.75% |
|
|
|
|
CHF |
|
|
PPI (MoM) |
0.0% |
|
-0.3% |
|
-0.1% |
|
|
|
|
CHF |
|
|
Interest Rate Decision |
0.00% |
|
0.00% |
|
0.00% |
|
|
|
|
GBP |
|
|
CBI Industrial Trends Orders |
-12 |
|
-16 |
|
-21 |
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
Core PPI (MoM) |
0.1% |
|
0.2% |
|
-0.2% |
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
Core Retail Sales (MoM) |
0.0% |
|
-0.1% |
|
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
PPI (MoM) |
-0.8% |
|
-0.5% |
|
-0.2% |
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
Retail Sales (MoM) |
0.3% |
|
0.5% |
|
-0.3% |
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
Initial Jobless Claims |
343K |
|
370K |
|
372K |
||
|
|
USD |
|
|
Continuing Jobless Claims |
3198K |
|
3210K |
|
3221K |
||
|
|
USD |
|
|
PPI (YoY) |
1.5% |
|
1.8% |
|
2.3% |
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
Core PPI (YoY) |
2.2% |
|
2.2% |
|
2.1% |
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD
Date |
Time |
Currency |
Event |
Forecast |
Previous |
Dec. 14 |
07:58 |
EUR |
45.0 |
44.5 |
|
|
08:28 |
EUR |
47.2 |
46.8 |
|
|
10:00 |
EUR |
2.2% |
2.2% |
|
|
10:00 |
EUR |
|
1.5% |
Government Bond Auction
Date Time Country
Dec 14 11:00 Belgium
Dec 14 15:30 UK
Dec 17 10:10 Norway
Dec 17 18:00 US
Dec 18 01:30 Japan
Dec 18 09:30 Spain
Dec 18 10:10 Greece
Dec 18 18:00 US
Dec 19 18:00 US
Dec 20 10:30 UK
Dec 20 16:30 Italy
Dec 20 18:00 US
Dec 21 16:30 Italy