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GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis October 31, 2014 Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 25, 2015, 07:00 UTC

Analysis and Recommendations: The GBP/USD recovered from early losses to trade in the red but only by 9 points as the US dollar skyrocketed. The pound is

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis October 31, 2014 Forecast
GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis October 31, 2014 Forecast
GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis October 31, 2014 Forecast

Analysis and Recommendations:

The GBP/USD recovered from early losses to trade in the red but only by 9 points as the US dollar skyrocketed. The pound is trading at 1.60 after a strong Housing Price Index report. U.K. house price growth slowed to a nine-month low October, adding to evidence that the market for residential property is cooling.

Annual price gains dropped to 9 percent from 9.4 percent in September in a second month of declines, Nationwide Building Society said today in a statement on its website. Still, prices rose 0.5 percent on the month after dropping 0.1 percent.

Mortgage approvals fell to a 14-month low in September, Bank of England data show, and Hometrack Ltd. said London has hit an “inevitable” slowdown after values reached a record. The central bank imposed tougher mortgage rules to preserve financial stability.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Today’s economic releases actual vs. forecast:

 

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  AUD

 

HIA New Home Sales

0.0%

 

3.3%

 

 

  GBP

 

Nationwide HPI (YoY)

9.0%

8.5%

9.4%

 

 

  GBP

 

Nationwide HPI (MoM)

0.5%

0.3%

-0.1%

 

 

  GBP

 

MPC Member Cunliffe

 

 

 

 

 

  EUR

 

Spanish GDP (QoQ)

0.5%

0.5%

0.6%

 

 

  EUR

 

German Unemployment

-22K

5K

9K

 

 

  EUR

 

German Unemployment

6.7%

6.7%

6.7%

 

 

  USD

 

GDP (QoQ) (Q3)  

 

3.0%

4.6%

 

 

  USD

 

GDP Price Index (QoQ)  

 

2.0%

2.1%

 

 

  USD

 

Initial Jobless Claims

 

283K

283K

 

 

  USD

 

Fed Chair Yellen Speaks  

 

 

   

 

GBPUSD(60 minutes)20141030134254

Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

 

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  JPY

 

Household Spending

 

-4.3%

-4.7%

 

 

  JPY

 

National Core CPI (YoY)

 

3.0%

3.1%

 

 

  JPY

 

Tokyo Core CPI (YoY)

 

2.5%

2.6%

 

 

  AUD

 

PPI (YoY) (Q3)

 

 

2.3%

 

 

  AUD

 

PPI (QoQ) (Q3)

 

 

-0.1%

 

 

  AUD

 

Private Sector Credit

 

0.4%

0.4%

 

 

  JPY

 

BoJ Press Conference 

 

 

 

 

 

  EUR

 

German Retail Sales

 

-1.0%

2.5%

 

 

  EUR

 

French Consumer

 

-0.3%

-0.7%

 

 

  EUR

 

Italian CPI (MoM)

 

-0.2%

-0.4%

 

 

  EUR

 

Core CPI (YoY) (Oct)  

 

0.8%

0.8%

 

 

  EUR

 

CPI (YoY) (Oct)  

 

0.4%

0.3%

 

 

  EUR

 

Unemployment Rate

 

11.5%

11.5%

 

 

  USD

 

Core PCE Price Index

 

 

1.5%

 

 

  CAD

 

GDP (MoM) (Aug)

 

0.0%

0.0%

 

 

  USD

 

Chicago PMI (Oct)

 

60.0

60.5

 

 

  USD

 

Michigan Consumer

 

86.4

86.4

 

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country Auction

Oct 30 10:10 Italy BTP/CCTeu auctions

Oct 30 17:00 US Usd 29bn 7Y Notes

Nov 03 10:00 Norway T-bill auction

Nov 04 10:15 Austria RAGB auction

Nov 04 10:30 Belgium 3 & 6M T-bill auction (Feb & Apr 2015)

Nov 04 10:30 UK Auctions 0.5% 2050 I/L Gilt

Nov 05 10:30 Germany Eur 4.0bn Oct 2019 Bobl auction

Nov 06 09:30 Spain Bono/Obligacion auction

Nov 06 10:03 Sweden I/L bond auction

Nov 06 11:00 Norway Announces details of bond auction on Nov 11

Nov 07 16:30 Italy Announces details of BOT auction on Nov

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