Analysis and Recommendations: Gold regain some of yesterday’s losses to trade at 1658.65 but remains directionless dipping up and down at market whims.
Gold regain some of yesterday’s losses to trade at 1658.65 but remains directionless dipping up and down at market whims. Most traders are sidelined as usual during the holiday season, but many have also sold profitable positions to book profits before year end with unknown tax consequences next year, traders are uneasy about remaining in the markets or taking new positions. The gold price turned modestly higher on Friday as financial markets continued to be whipsawed by a myriad of developments regarding the looming U.S. fiscal cliff. The spot price of gold held in a very narrow range. As for the ongoing fiscal cliff saga, the latest development included a planned meeting at between President Barack Obama and Congressional leaders. There, policymakers are expected to make a last-ditch effort to come to some sort of an agreement over higher tax rates for wealthier Americans. However, the definition of wealthy continues to vary substantially between Republicans and Democrats, and this has become one of the most significant obstacles to avoiding the fiscal cliff. While politicians in Washington remain divided on many critical financial issues, two encouraging economic data points helped pressure the price of gold.
Traders seem to be moving toward the safety of the US dollar and ignoring gold as a safety net during this cycle
Our fundamental analysis will not be published tomorrow, as we celebrated the New Year’s holiday and global markets are shuttered. I would like to take this time to wish all of my readers and followers the best in the New Year… Here’s to profitable trading.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Economic Data December 31, 2012 actual v. forecast
Date |
Time |
|
Currency |
|
Importance |
|
Event |
Actual |
|
Forecast |
|
Previous |
|
|
Dec. 31 |
00:30 |
|
AUD |
|
|
Private Sector Credit (MoM) |
0.0% |
|
0.3% |
|
0.1% |
|
||
|
01:45 |
|
CNY |
|
|
Chinese HSBC Manufacturing PMI |
51.50 |
|
50.90 |
|
50.90 |
|
||
|
02:00 |
|
SGD |
|
|
Singaporean Bank Landing (MoM) |
481.70B |
|
|
|
479.40B |
|
||
|
09:30 |
|
GBP |
|
|
Housing Equity Withdrawal (QoQ) |
-8.0B |
|
-9.1B |
|
-9.4B |
|||
|
10:00 |
|
EUR |
|
|
Greek Retail Sales (YoY) |
-18.10% |
|
|
|
-11.80% |
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD
Date |
Time |
Currency |
Event |
Forecast |
Previous |
Jan. 01 |
01:00 |
CNY |
51.00 |
50.60 |
|
Jan. 02 |
00:00 |
EUR |
0.7% |
-0.1% |
|
|
00:00 |
EUR |
1.9% |
1.9% |
|
|
08:00 |
CHF |
1.38 |
1.50 |
|
|
15:00 |
USD |
50.2 |
49.5 |
|
Jan. 03 |
08:00 |
CHF |
1.35 |
1.50 |
|
|
08:30 |
CHF |
48.5 |
48.5 |
|
|
08:55 |
EUR |
10K |
5K |
Upcoming Government Bond
Date Time Country
Thursday, January 5: France will auction an estimated €7-8 billion ($9.1-10.4 billion) in 10-year and other long-term bonds
Tuesday, January 10: Austria will auction €1.3 billion ($1.7 billion) in 5- and 10-year bonds
Thursday, January 12: Spanish 3- and 5-year bond auction
Friday, January 13: Italy will auction medium-long term bonds
Thursday, January 19: France will auction 5-year bonds
Thursday, January 19: Spanish 10-, 15-, and 30-year bond auction
Thursday, January 26: Italian long-term bond auction
Monday, January 30: Italian medium-long term bond auction
Monday, January 30: Belgian bond auction