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Gold Fundamental Analysis January 21, 2013 Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 21, 2015, 06:00 GMT+00:00

Analysis and Recommendations: Gold was flat today trading at 1688.95. With the US fiscal cliff extended ongoing concerns over the US debt ceiling and

Gold Fundamental Analysis January 21, 2013 Forecast
Gold Fundamental Analysis January 21, 2013 Forecast

Analysis and Recommendations:

Gold was flat today trading at 1688.95. With the US fiscal cliff extended ongoing concerns over the US debt ceiling and spending and budget cuts continue to weigh on the markets as US lawmakers make no progress. On the other side of the coin positive eco data in the US and China show both economies recovering nicely. The U.S. dollar index is higher Friday on short covering. The greenback bears still have the overall near-term technical advantage and that’s an underlying supportive factor for the precious metals.

The crude oil bulls still have upside near-term technical momentum and that, too, is a bullish underlying factor for the metals markets. If crude oil prices continue to trend higher in the near term, that could spark fresh speculative money to flow into the raw commodity sector, including the precious metals.

Yesterday, gold surged to one-month high on weak dollar and renewed safe haven appeal on the back of positive US job and housing data. Gold skyrocketed again in earlier trading heading towards the 1700 price range today but then turned and declined on poor consumer sentiment in the US and returned to trade flat.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data January 18, 2013 actual v. forecast

Date

Time

 

Currency

 

 

Event

Actual

 

Forecast

 

Previous

 

 

Jan. 18

02:00

 

CNY

 

 

Chinese Fixed Asset Investment

20.6%

 

20.7% 

 

20.7% 

 

 

 

02:00

 

CNY

 

 

Chinese GDP

7.9%

 

7.8% 

 

7.4% 

 

 

 

02:00

 

CNY

 

 

Chinese Industrial Production

10.3%

 

10.1% 

 

10.1% 

 

 

 

02:00

 

CNY

 

 

Chinese Retail Sales 

15.2%

 

14.9% 

 

14.9% 

 

 

 

04:30

 

JPY

 

 

Industrial Production

-1.4%

 

-1.7% 

 

-1.7% 

 

 

 

09:30

 

GBP

 

 

Retail Sales

-0.1%

 

0.2% 

 

0.0% 

 

 

 

09:30

 

GBP

 

 

Retail Sales

0.3%

 

1.1% 

 

0.9% 

 

 

 

13:30

 

CAD

 

 

Manufacturing Sales (MoM) 

1.70%

 

1.00% 

 

-1.20% 

   

 

14:55

 

USD

 

 

Michigan Consumer Sentiment 

71.3

 

75.0 

 

72.9 

   

 

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Previous

Jan. 21

06:00

EUR

Estonian PPI (MoM) 

0.30% 

 

07:00

EUR

German PPI (MoM) 

-0.1% 

 

07:00

EUR

German PPI (YoY) 

1.4% 

 

08:30

EUR

Dutch Consumer Confidence 

-39.00 

Upcoming Government Bond

Date Time Country 

Jan 21 10:00 Slovakia 

Jan 22 09:10 Holland 

Jan 22 09:30 Spain 

Jan 22 10:30 UK 

Jan 23 10:10 Sweden 

Jan 23 16:30 Italy  

Jan 24 01:30 Japan 

Jan 24 12:00 Norway 

Jan 24 15:30 Sweden 

Jan 24 16:00 US 

Jan 24 16:30 Italy  

Jan 24 18:00 US 

Jan 25 16:30 Italy

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