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Gold Fundamental Forecast – July 27, 2016

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Jul 26, 2016, 10:25 UTC

Gold drifted down a bit as traders remain sidelined ahead of big US data this week and the Federal Reserve meeting which begins later today and will

Gold

Gold drifted down a bit as traders remain sidelined ahead of big US data this week and the Federal Reserve meeting which begins later today and will conclude tomorrow afternoon. Gold volumes are expected to remain low, while nothing is expected from the Fed except a shift in language in their statement. Gold is trading at 1320.00. Kitco said gold prices were ending the U.S. day session weaker Monday, but up from the daily low. No new bullish fundamental developments are allowing gold prices to languish in a sideways to lower drift. The recent rallies in world stock markets have also hurt the safe-haven metal, as such indicates there is not much risk aversion in the marketplace at present.

The focal point of the marketplace this week will be the U.S.  Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee (FOMC) that meets Tuesday and Wednesday, and the Bank of Japan monetary policy meeting that takes place Thursday and Friday. No change is expected in U.S. monetary policy this week, but it is expected the BOJ will announce a new monetary policy stimulus package.

U.S. economic data Monday was light and included the Texas manufacturing outlook survey. However, the report pace will pick up significantly Tuesday with a big batch of data due.

FxEmpire provides a wide variety of analysis on a daily, weekly and monthly basis ranging from our exceptional technical analysis as well as our in-depth fundamental analysis along with our daily news and market updates. To get the best understanding of each asset it is important to review the short term daily analysis with the longer term monthly reports. To get email notification when each of these are posted please sign up for our daily newsletter.

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Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

Wednesday, July 27, 2016

Country Name Volatility Previous
AUD Consumer Price Index (QoQ) 3 -0.2
AUD RBA trimmed mean CPI (YoY) 3 1.7
AUD Consumer Price Index (YoY) 3 1.3
AUD RBA trimmed mean CPI (QoQ) 3 0.2
EUR Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey 2 10.1
GBP Gross Domestic Product (YoY) 2 2
GBP Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) 2 0.4
USD Durable Goods Orders 3 -2.2
USD Durable Goods Orders Core 3 -0.3
USD Pending Home Sales (YoY) 2 2.4
USD Pending Home Sales (MoM) 2 -3.7
USD Fed’s Monetary Policy Statement 3
USD Fed Interest Rate Decision 3 0.5

Government Bond Auctions

Date/Time Country Type

Jul 25 11:30 Germany Eur 1.5bn Jul 2017 Bubill

Jul 25 17:20 Italy Announces details of bond auction

Jul 26 11:10 Italy Holds zero-coupon/BTP€i auction

Jul 27 11:30 Germany Eur 1bn 2.5% Aug 2046 Bund

Jul 28 11:10 Italy Holds bond auction

 

 

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