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Gold Fundamental Forecast – September 6, 2016

By
Barry Norman
Published: Sep 5, 2016, 11:38 GMT+00:00

Gold is slightly up at 1329.35 with US traders on holiday leaving volumes extremely light. The lower US dollar made the commodity more attractive to

Gold Fundamental Forecast – September 6, 2016

Gold is slightly up at 1329.35 with US traders on holiday leaving volumes extremely light. The lower US dollar made the commodity more attractive to foreign buyers today but no real movement is expected for the balance of the day.  US employment growth slowed more than expected in August after two straight months of robust gains and wages were tepid.

Still, Richmond Federal Reserve Bank President Jeffrey Lacker said on Friday that the U.S. economy appears strong enough to warrant significantly higher interest rates.

Wall Street’s biggest banks are sticking to bets that the Fed will raise interest rates once this year, and the increase would most likely occur in December after a tepid employment report for August quashed most talk of a move as early as this month.

Asian physical gold demand improved slightly this week as a correction in prices prompted consumers to buy for the upcoming festival and wedding season, with discounts in India narrowing to the smallest in three months.

Hedge funds and money managers reduced their bullish stance in COMEX gold contracts in the week to Aug. 30 to the lowest in nearly three months, U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) data showed on Friday.

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Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

 September 6, 2016

Cur. Event Forecast Previous
  GBP BRC Retail Sales Monitor (YoY) (Aug)   1.1%
  AUD Current Account (Q2) -19.8B -20.8B
  AUD Interest Rate Decision (Sep) 1.50% 1.50%
  AUD RBA Rate Statement    
  EUR GDP (QoQ) (Q2) 0.3% 0.3%
  EUR GDP (YoY) (Q2) 1.6% 1.6%
  USD Markit Composite PMI (Aug)   51.5
  USD Services PMI (Aug)   50.9
  USD ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment   51.4
  USD ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Aug) 55.0 55.5
  NZD GlobalDairyTrade Price Index   12.7%

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country Auction

Sep 06 11:00 Austria Holds bond auction

Sep 06 11:30 UK 1.5% 2026 Gilt

Sep 06 11:30 Germany Holds I/L bond auction

Sep 07 10:30 Denmark Holds bond auction

Sep 07 11:03 Sweden Holds bond auction

Sep 07 11:30 Germany Eur 5bn 0% Aug 2026 Bund

Sep 08 11:00 Ireland Holds bond auction

Sep 08 17:20 Italy Announces details of bond auction

 

 

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