As fiscal uncertainty deepens and the global monetary order fragments, Gold appears to be reclaiming its throne.
A deep shift is unfolding in the global financial markets as the world’s most powerful Institutions, Sovereign Wealth Funds and Central Banks accelerate their retreat from U.S Treasuries – and rotate into Gold at a record-breaking pace – raising profound questions about the future of the global financial order.
The exodus, driven by structural debt concerns and a loss of faith in fiat stability, has sent Gold prices surging to new all-time record highs of $3,500 an ounce, with analysts at JPMorgan now forecasting a potential run toward $6,000 by the end of President Trump’s second term – as the safe-haven trade of the decade continues to gains momentum.
What’s unfolding, according to GSC Commodity Intelligence is not just another cyclical rotation. “It’s something deeper. And possibly irreversible”.
Bond markets globally have endured several sharp corrections over the past two decades – but this one is different. It’s not inflation or a Fed shock.
Real yields are rising, not just nominal ones. The U.S Federal Reserve is no longer raising rates – but is quietly shrinking its balance sheet.
Meanwhile, the U.S Treasury is flooding markets with long-dated debt at a time when foreign buyers, from Beijing to Europe are stepping back. The U.S. is running wartime-sized deficits in peacetime.
The U.S. bond market used to be the anchor of the global system. Not another more. Once hailed as the ultimate safe haven, the $26 trillion U.S Treasury market is now at the centre of a mounting global debate:
Only time will tell, however one thing we do know for certain is that the alarm bells are ringing and Gold is listening.
According to analysts at GSC Commodity Intelligence – “we are witnessing a fundamental repricing. Gold is firmly cementing its status as the only safe-haven the world trusts. One that doesn’t come with a Central Bank, a deficit or a downgrade risk”.
The age of debt is cracking and the age of Gold is beginning.
Amid this growing uncertainty, Gold has re-emerged not just as a hedge, but as a monetary alternative. Central banks added more than 1,100 tonnes to their reserves in 2024 – the highest on record.
And that momentum has carried over into 2025.
As fiscal uncertainty deepens and the global monetary order fragments, Gold appears to be reclaiming its throne – not as a relic of the past, but as the cornerstone of a new financial reality.
For the first time in decades – Gold is not just outperforming bonds – it’s replacing them! That’s welcoming news for the bulls, but painful for anyone sitting on the side lines, who must now decide how much FOMO they can handle.
Phil Carr is co-founder and the Head of Trading at The Gold & Silver Club, an international Commodities Trading, Research and Data-Intelligence firm.