Advertisement
Advertisement

Gold Price Forecast – Gold Could Breakout or Top This Week

By:
AG Thorson
Published: Jun 22, 2020, 13:55 UTC

Gold finished last week above $1750, and a test of key resistance surrounding the $1800 level is possible in the coming days.

Gold Price Forecast – Gold Could Breakout or Top This Week

Our primary forecast expects a top followed by a breakdown below $1660 this summer.

The Fed has been aggressively backing the economy. Last week, they announced they would begin buying individual corporate bonds, something they’ve never done. See Fed balance sheet below.

A screenshot of a social media postDescription automatically generated
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/bst_recenttrends.htm

Liquidity seems to favor the high-flying tech sector with the NASDAQ near all-time highs. If the risk-on trade is back, gold may begin to take a backseat – it performs best when fear is high.

A close up of a map

Description automatically generated

GOLD PRICE FORECAST

Overall, I think the 2020 consolidation could go on for another month. Eventually, prices should break below $1660, and approach our primary target between $1500 and $1550. A deeper correction to the secondary target ($1350-$1420) remains possible. Gold would have to rally sharply above $1800 to register an upside breakout.

A close up of a map

Description automatically generated

I think we will see a better buying opportunity for gold later this year. Longer-term, demand for precious metals should increase as debt expands. Investors are beginning to wake up to this fact and are losing confidence in governments and their ability to manage. We believe gold started a multi-year advance that should last well into the decade.

Our Gold Cycle Indicator is near topping (currently 332), and an intermediate cycle peak is becoming plausible.

A screenshot of a cell phone

Description automatically generated

AG Thorson is a registered CMT and expert in technical analysis. He believes we are in the final stages of a global debt super-cycle. For more information, please visit here.

About the Author

AG Thorsoncontributor

AG Thorson is a registered CMT and expert in technical analysis. He believes we are in the final stages of a global debt super-cycle that will begin to unravel in 2020.

Did you find this article useful?

Advertisement