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Gold Price Futures (GC) Technical Analysis – March 28, 2019 Forecast

By:
James Hyerczyk
Published: Mar 28, 2019, 14:16 GMT+00:00

Gold is being pressured on Thursday by a strong U.S. Dollar and increased demand for higher risk assets. Fear of a recession is driving investors into the

Comex Gold

Gold is being pressured on Thursday by a strong U.S. Dollar and increased demand for higher risk assets. Fear of a recession is driving investors into the safe-haven dollar while another round of trade talks between the U.S. and China is helping to drive stock prices higher. The dollar is also being helped by a plunge in the Euro. The dollar is also being supported because most of the major central banks have turned dovish.

At 14:03 GMT, June Comex gold is trading $1296.60, down $20.30 or -1.55%.

Daily June Comex Gold

Daily Technical Analysis

The main trend is down according to the daily swing chart. A trade through $1287.50 will reaffirm the downtrend. A move through $1330.80 will change the minor trend to up.

The main range is $1356.00 to $1287.50. Its retracement zone at $1321.80 to $1329.80 is resistance.

The short-term range is $1287.50 to $1330.80. Its retracement zone is $1304.00 to $1309.20. The market is trading on the weak side of this zone, making it new resistance.

Daily Technical Forecast

Based on the current price at $1296.60 and the downside momentum, the next downside target is an uptrending Gann angle at $1295.00. We could see a technical bounce on the first test of this level due to profit-taking. However, it if fails then look for the selling to extend into the next downtrending Gann angle at $1291.20. This is the last potential support angle before the $1287.50 main bottom.

On the upside, the nearest targets are a series of levels at $1302.50, $1304.00 and $1306.80. Since the main trend is down, sellers are likely to come in on the first test of $1302.50 to $1306.80. The market could accelerate to the upside if buyers can take out $1306.80.

Look for the downside pressure to continue as long as the U.S. Dollar remains strong and stocks can hold on to their gains.

About the Author

James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.

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