Rising U.S. Treasury yields are helping to boost the U.S. Dollar which is pressuring dollar-denominated December Comex Gold futures shortly before the
Rising U.S. Treasury yields are helping to boost the U.S. Dollar which is pressuring dollar-denominated December Comex Gold futures shortly before the regular session opening. Increased appetite for risk is also making gold a less-desirable asset.
The main trend is down according to the daily swing chart. The downtrend was reaffirmed early Monday when sellers took out the last main bottom at $1277.60. If the downside momentum continues then the October 6 main bottom at $1262.80 will become the next downside target.
The trend will change back to up on a move through $1292.90.
The long-term retracement zone is $1286.80 to $1268.90. The market is currently trading inside this zone. This zone is controlling the longer-term direction of the market.
Inside this retracement zone is the main retracement zone at $1285.60 to $1280.20. The market is currently trading on the weak side of this zone, giving gold a downside bias and signaling that downside momentum is increasing.
Based on the current price at $1276.30 and the current downside momentum, the next downside target is an uptrending angle at $1273.80. We could see a technical bounce on the first test of this angle but if it fails then look for an acceleration into the support cluster at $1268.90 to $1268.30. This area is the last potential support before the $1262.80 main bottom.
On the upside, overtaking $1280.20 will signal the return of buyers. This could trigger a short-covering rally into a pair of 50% levels at $1285.60 and $1286.80, followed by a downtrending angle at $1288.40.
Look for a downside bias as long as Treasury yields, the U.S. Dollar and U.S. stocks continue to rise.
James is a Florida-based technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader with 35+ years of experience. He is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis as it applies to futures, Forex, and stocks.