The direction of the June Comex gold futures contract is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the pivot at $1777.10.
Gold futures are trading flat to lower on Wednesday as concerns over the possibility of higher U.S. interest rates, following hawkish comments from U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, drove the U.S. Dollar higher.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said on Tuesday she sees no inflation problem brewing, downplaying earlier comments that rate hikes may be needed to stop the economy from overheating as President Joe Biden’s spending plans boost growth.
At 08:41 GMT, June Comex gold futures are trading $1774.80, down $1.20 or -0.07%.
The main trend is up according to the daily swing chart. A trade through $1799.50 will signal a resumption of the uptrend. A move through $1754.60 will change the main trend to down.
The minor range is $1754.60 to $1799.50. The market is currently straddling its 50% level or pivot at $1777.10.
On the upside, the resistance is the long-term 50% level at $1788.50.
On the downside, the first potential support is a 50% level at $1761.40, followed by a second 50% level at $1738.40 and a long-term Fibonacci level at $1711.90.
The direction of the June Comex gold futures contract is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the pivot at $1777.10.
A sustained move under $1777.10 will indicate the presence of sellers. If this move creates enough downside momentum then look for the selling to possibly extend into the 50% level at $1761.40, followed closely by the main bottom at $1754.60.
Taking out $1754.60 will change the main trend to down. This could trigger an acceleration into another 50% level at $1738.40.
A sustained move over $1777.10 will signal the presence of buyers. The first upside target is the long-term 50% level at $1788.50. Overtaking this level could drive the market into $1799.50. This price is a potential trigger point for an acceleration to the upside with $1817.60 the next potential upside target.
James is a Florida-based technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader with 35+ years of experience. He is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis as it applies to futures, Forex, and stocks.