Gold vs. Bitcoin: BTC Eyes $140K as XAUUSD Consolidates Above $3,000

Bitcoin (BTC) has stabilized near $105,000 after rebounding on Monday. The recovery came as global markets welcomed the ceasefire between Israel and Iran, easing geopolitical tensions. The improved risk sentiment lifted demand for risk assets, including Bitcoin. As Bitcoin displayed strong volatility, the easing tensions pushed its price above $105,000. Additionally, the US Federal Reserve‘s more lenient stance on crypto-related banking has boosted market confidence. Investors now anticipate a more accommodating environment for digital assets in the future.

Institutional demand has further strengthened Bitcoin’s outlook. Anthony Pompliano announced the launch of ProCap Financial, a new Bitcoin treasury firm set to hold up to $1 billion in BTC. The company has already raised $750 million, backed by prominent institutional and crypto investors. This move signals growing interest in Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset. As large firms continue to accumulate BTC, price momentum could build toward the $115,000 and $140,000 levels.

On the other hand, gold (XAUUSD) price corrected lower after the Iran-Israel ceasefire, as safe-haven demand declined. The focus has now shifted to Friday’s inflation data and the Fed Chair Powell Testifies on Wednesday. Markets are also closely watching the impact of global tariffs, which may influence gold prices.

Bitcoin Technical Analysis

Bitcoin to Gold Ratio Breakout Above 40 Signals Potential Major BTC Rally

The weekly chart for the Bitcoin-to-Gold ratio indicates that the ratio has been breaking out of the curve, signaling bullish momentum. It is currently in a decision zone and awaiting a clear directional move. A break above the 40 level in this ratio could trigger a strong surge in Bitcoin prices.

The long-term monthly chart for the Bitcoin-to-Gold ratio also shows strong bullish momentum. The ratio continues to trade within a consistent upward trend, and a break above the 40 level could trigger a strong surge in Bitcoin prices.

BTC Eyes $140K as Bullish Momentum Builds

The weekly chart for Bitcoin shows that the price has rebounded back toward the $105,000 area after the Iran-Israel ceasefire. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is currently trading at a pivotal level and appears poised for a strong upward move.

A break above $115,000 could initiate a rally toward the $140,000 area. The emergence of a cup pattern and a breakout from the descending broadening wedge indicate strong bullish momentum.

Gold Technical Analysis

XAUUSD Consolidation Above $3,000 Major Support

The weekly chart for gold shows that the price is consolidating between the $3,200 and $3,500 region. This consolidation reflects intense bullish price action, suggesting that the next move could be significant. As long as the price stays above the key support at $3,000, a breakout above $3,500 could trigger a move toward the $4,000 area. Historical price action suggests that each consolidation in the gold market has been followed by an upward breakout, resulting in a significant surge in prices.

XAUUSD Consolidation Sets Stage for $4,000 Surge

The weekly chart for gold shows that the metal recorded its highest weekly close in June, but failed to sustain the momentum and corrected lower. Despite the pullback, the price remains above the resistance line of the ascending broadening wedge. However, this area is critical, and a break below $3,280 could trigger further downside. This correction is likely to be seen as a buying opportunity for long-term investors. A break above $3,500 will indicate a move to $4,000.