Gold has had a choppy week as we continue to see a lot of volatility in the interest rate markets. At this point in time, the markets will continue to react to the latest headlines.
The gold market continues to see a lot of volatility, and as interest rates rose again during the week, we have seen gold struggle. That being said, I’m watching the $4,600 level as a potential barrier to being bullish. If we can’t get above there, then I just think this market is going to languish.
That being said, if we break down from here, I expect a certain amount of support near the $4,500 level, and then again at the 50-week EMA at $4,250. To the upside, breaking above the $4,600 level opens up $4,800, followed by $5,000.
Now, having said that, I do believe gold goes higher over the longer term. But as long as interest rates remain fairly high, it is difficult for non-yielding assets such as gold and silver to do well with any type of sustainability. I think that’s what we’re seeing here. We’re just seeing a market that doesn’t have enough momentum or sustainability to really push prices higher. This is a market that will eventually be explosive again, but in this environment, it is very difficult for traders to ignore the rates that are offered at this point.
A lot of sideways action, I think, is what we’re waiting to see. I do think eventually we have an argument to start buying and holding again, but we need clarity in places like the Middle East to make that truly happen. Honestly, I don’t think we’re that close to solving that situation, and therefore, a lot of patience will be necessary to get involved here.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.