USD/CAD With its another failure to surpass the 1.2910-20 horizontal-region, the USDCAD recently closed below 50-day SMA for the first-time in nearly
With its another failure to surpass the 1.2910-20 horizontal-region, the USDCAD recently closed below 50-day SMA for the first-time in nearly three-months, which in-turn signals the pair’s further downside towards testing an upward slanting TL support of 1.2685. Should the quote refrains to respect the trend-line support by providing a daily close beneath 1.2685, the 1.2660 and the 100-day SMA level of 1.2600 might reappear on the chart. On the contrary, 50-day SMA level of 1.2755 is likely immediate resistance for the pair to clear if it is to aim for 1.2800 and the 1.2840 numbers. However, the 1.2910-20 area, adjacent to 200-day SMA level of 1.2925, might confine the pair’s following advances, failing to which could push buyers to target 61.8% FE level of 1.2985.
Unlike USDCAD, the GBPCAD has already cleared an important support-line stretched since September-start and is indicating brighter chances of its additional downturn to 50-day SMA level of 1.6925. Given the pair’s sustained break of 1.6925, the 1.6860, the 1.6790 and the 100-day SMA level of 1.6645 can please the sellers. In case if the pair closes above support-turned-resistance TL figure of 1.7055, it can again rise to the 1.7120, the 1.7200 and then to the 1.7260 consecutive resistances. During the pair’s extended north-run beyond 1.7260, the 1.7320 and the 1.7465 can become Bulls’ favorite.
CADCHF’s ability to conquer 50-day & 100-day SMA confluence need to justify its strength by breaking resistance-line of a fifteen-week old descending trend-channel, at 0.7785 now, which in-turn could help the pair to run towards 0.7820 & the 0.7875 resistances. If the pair successfully trades above 0.7875, the 0.7920 and the September high around 0.7960 may come-back as price-levels. Alternatively, a daily close below 0.7755-50 support-confluence can trigger the pair’s pullback to 0.7700 and 0.7670 while the 0.7630, the 0.7615 and the 0.7600 may act as consequent rests. Though, support-line of the mentioned channel and 200-day SMA, near 0.7575-70, might restrict the pair’s southward trajectory.
Cheers and Safe Trading,
Anil Panchal
An MBA (Finance) degree holder with more than five years of experience in tracking the global Forex market. His expertise lies in fundamental analysis but he does not give up on technical aspects in order to identify profitable trade opportunities.