Russia-Ukraine conflict remains the main driver of the risk-off sentiment, with stocks coming sharply down in Europe, while crude oil moves to 2008 levels.
EURUSD 4h Elliott Wave Analysis
EURUSD is coming sharply down due to the situation in Ukraine, and it seems that the pair is in an impulsive sell-off with room for more weakness after rallies. We see pair in wave 3 now so an upcoming bounce into wave 4 can stop at the broken channel line that can turn into resistance near 1.10950-1.1.
GBPUSD 4h Elliott Wave Analysis
The cable is coming sharply down, clearly with an impulsive sell-off from 1.3642 highs so we should be aware of the potential limited weakness, even if just short-term. Keep in mind that every five waves need a minimum three-wave retracement which would not be a surprise after recent sharp and extended leg down, into oversold conditions. RSI divergence on 4h may also suggest a low down. However, any bullish price action may not show up until 1.3485 is broken, which is far away at this stage.
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Gregor is based in Slovenia and has been involved in markets since 2003. He is the owner of Ew-Forecast, but before that, he was working for Capital Forex Group and TheLFB.com.